sexta-feira, fevereiro 28, 2014

O foco inicial

"“What job do we want customers to hire the product for? What value it creates? and what should be our fair share of the value created?”.
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If you didn’t start with customers, it does not matter whether it not the price points are working now or not. If you didn’t start with customers your pricing is wrong."
Muitas empresas começam pelos custos. E, ao começarem pelos custos, concentram-se naquilo que "controlam" na cadeia de fornecimento, desde os seus  fornecedores até à sua expedição.
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Pensar em valor é perceber que o valor está na mente do cliente ao experienciar a integração na sua vida de um recurso adquirido. Isso, faz com que o foco inicial seja sempre esse, o cliente.
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Trecho retirado de "Forget the Price Waterfall"

quinta-feira, fevereiro 27, 2014

Curiosidade do dia

"The 12 Meanest Things Nassim Taleb Has Said About Economists"
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Por exemplo:
"A trader listened to the firm's "chief" economist's predictions about gold, then lost a bundle. The trader was asked to leave the firm. He then angrily asked him boss who was firing him: "Why do you fire me alone not the economist? He is too responsible for the loss." The Boss: "You idiot, we are not firing you for losing money; we are firing you for listening to the economist."
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[On his greatest disappointment]: That I am unable to destroy the economics establishment, the press."

"invest time in listening to your customers"

Nem de propósito, bem na linha da parte II do antropologista que entra num bar:
"Founders need a way to make great design become automatic, and there’s only one way I’ve found to do that reliably: invest time in listening to your customers.
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You’ve probably heard this advice a hundred times before. Whether you call it “user research” or “customer development” or just “getting out of the building”, we all know that hearing directly from customers is one of the fastest ways to learn and improve our products. But when I ask founders how long it’s been since they’ve watched a real customer (not a family member) use their product, they usually look embarrassed and admit they haven’t tested anything in months.
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It’s so much fun to make things that it’s often hard to stop and listen.
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No one expects customers to design the product for you. That’d be way too easy! But customers can absolutely tell you their goals and frustrations. Customers can show you what they like or dislike about products and you can watch when they get stuck or confused. So if customers say they want faster horses, what you should hear is that getting around is too slow. It’s the team’s job to take all that raw input and build products to delight customers."
Trecho retirado de "Braden Kowitz: Why You Should Listen to the Customer"

Os defensores da Torre de Babel

Escrevi aqui no blogue, já há algum tempo, que um dos grandes obstáculos à rapidez da difusão e entranhamento de Mongo no nosso quotidiano vai ser o conluio entre o Estado e os incumbentes, para proteger e impor a manutenção do status-quo que traz receitas fiscais e mercados protegidos, para proteger a sua Torre de Babel.
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Uns dirão que sou um exagerado, um radical, um neoliberal...
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Pois.
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Convido à leitura de "A Coreia do Norte tão perto de si".

Um antropologista entra num bar... (parte II)

Parte I.
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Lembro-me do posicionamento que a marca Volvo tinha há uns anos no meu referencial. Imagino que a sede de crescimento a todo o custo terá sido um dos factores que os impulsionou a construírem SUVs e, assim, diluírem aquilo que a marca representava e a quem se dirigia.
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O artigo referido na parte I, "An Anthropologist Walks Into a Bar" de Christian Madsbjerg e Mikkel Rasmussen, tem um relato que me fascinou, e que mostra como é possível uma alternativa de crescimento, não alargando o âmbito da oferta, mas aprofundando a relação com os clientes e aprofundando a percepção de qual é a experiência vivida.
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O artigo descreve o percurso da Coloplast, líder no sector da colostomia. Qual era o desafio?
"Sensemaking starts with learning to think of a problem as a phenomenon—that is, to see it in terms of human experience. (Moi ici: O fundamental é a experiência) This conceptual shift requires companies to stop looking at the market, the product, and the customer from their own perspective and examine the customer’s perspective instead. (Moi ici: O fundamental é olhar para o mundo sob a perspectiva do cliente, ou dos pivôs do ecossistema da procura)
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Thus, Coloplast recast the question “How do we capture new sources of growth?” as “What is the experience of living with ostomy?” (Moi ici: Esta pergunta muda completamente o foco, a orientação da pesquisa. Em vez de apontar para o alargamento da oferta, começa pelo ponto de chegada, pela vida do cliente) Its managers knew a lot about customer metrics—who bought how much of which products when, and so forth. But they realized they knew less about their customers’ worlds. What was it like to be an ostomy patient? How did it afect your self-image? Your social life? What was a good day, or a bad day? The company’s product development and marketing strategies had been driven by two assumptions about customers and their needs: that within two years of leaving the hospital, people had their ostomy care under control and were living essentially normal lives; and that product innovation should focus largely on improving the various features of an ostomy bag, one by one."
O que fez a equipa de antropólogos ao serviço da Coloplast? Foi para o terreno observar os clientes no seu habitat natural, foi conversar com eles, foi viver com eles. Sem ideias pré-concebidas, sem hipóteses explicativas. A equipa registou um conjunto de recortes em primeira-mão da vida dos clientes : narrativas; fotos; confissões; ...
"This eye-opening feed can be tremendously inspiring for business leaders used to thinking about their customers as abstractions—as segments, need states, or consumption occasions.
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In addition, the researchers spent a day with stoma-care nurses (Moi ici: Ter em atenção o ecossistema da procura) in order to understand the way they choose products for their patients, how they prepare patients for discharge, and their concerns about patients’ ability to manage at home."
Esta metodologia foi a que seguimos, por exemplo, num projecto de 2011. Visitamos cerca de 20 equipas, falamos com mais de 70 pessoas distribuídas por várias zonas do país. Recolhemos as suas reacções, transformámos-las em pequenas frases e construímos um modelo causal:
Depois de reconhecido o fenómeno, o passo seguinte é procurar padrões para identificar causas-raiz que têm de ser eliminadas... ou percebidas, no caso da Coloplast
"The key to uncovering patterns is to find root causes—in this case, the fundamental explanations
for patients’ and nurses’ behavior. The process is like peeling an onion. The outer layer contains directly observable facts, such as how often patients change their bags and what inconveniences they experience while doing so. The next layer contains the habits and practices informing patients’ behavior and choices. And fnally there is the center—the underlying causes of those habits and practices."
E o que é mais interessante no diálogo com os actores na cadeia da procura é o conseguir perceber a ilusão que a estatística esconde:
"As it repeatedly returned to the phenomenon—what is the experience of living with a stoma?—Coloplast started to understand the efects of diferences between care in a clinical setting and care at home. (Moi ici: A importância do contexto)
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Indeed, Coloplast realized that the problem it believed it had largely solved—leakage—in fact remained a formidable, life-altering challenge.
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The pattern recognition process revealed that the complaints had dropped of not because the problem was solved but because people had radically adapted their lifestyles to avoid the risk of accidents, accepting that their new lives were, in the words of one patient, “probably as good as it gets.”"
E assim, perceber uma realidade importante que muitos gestores desconhecem:
There is no perfect product, because there is no perfect patient” (Moi ici: Generalizando, já existe mais gente fora da caixa do que dentro da caixa... sim, o Estranhistão está em todo o lado) and “It’s a good product, but it’s not right for everyone.”
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Stoma patients’ bodies are all so diferent that no single solution exists. The main challenge wasn’t the type of stoma a patient had—it was the type of body a patient had. That might seem an obvious point, but Coloplast’s innovation process had blinded management and R&D engineers alike to the possibility. Just as individuals can sufer from confrmation bias (a refexive seeking of only information that supports an existing position), so can entire organizations.
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This was a major problem—and, incredibly, no one in the billion-dollar industry had addressed it. It immediately became clear that Coloplast needed to categorize body types and create products designed specifically for each one."

Parte 1 - "light their pants on fire"

Três imagens que usei num workshop realizado esta semana.
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Uma regra fundamental da Teoria dos Jogos:
Quando jogamos (seguimos) uma estratégia que não nos dá vantagem, estamos na prática a fazer parte de um sistema em que, com maior ou menor velocidade, estão a funcionar estes ciclos:
A dinâmica de sistemas chama a esta imagem um arquétipo, um modelo que se repete com tanta frequência que lhe atribuiu uma designação: "Sucesso para os bem-sucedidos"
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Porque a empresa A é bem sucedida, são retirados recursos da empresa B para serem aplicados na empresa A. Assim, a empresa A tem cada vez mais sucesso e cada vez mais recursos são sifonados de B para A. A empresa B vai sofrendo uma rápida ou lenta erosão até que deixa de assegurar recursos para manter a sua viabilidade.
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O que é que uma empresa na situação da empresa B deve fazer?
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Pensar e formular uma estratégia que a retire daquela dinâmica de enfraquecimento e lhe proporcione uma plataforma a partir da qual possa criar poder... uma vantagem competitiva.
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Todos olhavam para Golias com um mindset estabelecido, evidente, poderoso.
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David, ousou não seguir o caminho mais percorrido...


quarta-feira, fevereiro 26, 2014

Curiosidade do dia

"Satellite Imaging Startups Skybox, Planet Labs Race to Cover Earth"

"The next step is something more like a Google for Earth: a search engine where people can find satellite photos taken in real or near-real time that answer questions like “How many ships are in the Port of Houston today?” or “How much corn is currently growing in Iowa?” That would be of real value to oil exploration companies, day traders, and others with the tools to analyze the data. To pull this off, a company would need to build a network of satellites dense enough to capture a picture of the whole earth, sort of like a scanner encircling the planet.
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“You want to get the day-in and day-out trends,” says Dan Berkenstock, co-founder and chief product officer of Skybox. “We want to give corporations the same capabilities that traditionally only governments have had.”"

Acerca da importância do ecossistema

 "The story of Blackberry underlines a new truth about the competitive landscape we live in: success or failure isn’t a function of a good product or service, or a well-run, cost effective company with a sound capital structure. It also requires an effective strategy to manage your ecosystem."
Como isto é profundo, verdadeiro e actual!
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E não julguem que é só para tecnológicas.
"The solution is not to be vertically integrated but, rather, to control by managing differentiability — i.e., being the actor along the value chain who guarantees the product quality and shapes the experience — as well as manage the replaceability of other actors along the value chain."
Qual é o ecossistema da sua empresa?


Trechos retirados de "How Blackberry forgot to manage the ecosystem"

Quantas?

Li "Is it time for a competitor to the Olympics?" e pensei: E nos negócios?
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Quantas vezes olhamos para o mercado e somos incapazes de repensá-lo com uma nova composição?
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Quantas vezes olhamos para o mercado e respeitamos vacas sagradas que já passaram do seu prazo de validade?
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Quantas vezes olhamos para o mercado e sentimos um fervor revolucionário ao perceber que existe uma forma de "dinamitar" o status-quo em favor dos clientes-alvo e da nossa proposta de valor?

Acerca da estratégia

"How to avoid a "strategy fail""
"1. Not understanding the environment.
A strategy that does not match the realities of the environment is bound to fail, yet many companies do not invest sufficiently to learn about customer needs, competitor capabilities, potential new entrants, or emerging social and technological trends."
Nunca esquecer que uma estratégia depende não só do ADN mas também do ambiente. E se o mundo está em mudança... é provável que a estratégia que estamos a seguir esteja a ficar dessintonizada da realidade. Muitas vezes não parece... é aquele "gradually, then suddenly"

Música celestial para este blogue

"A business movement focused on the little guy"
"An entire network of companies and organizations have sprung from, or for, the maker community. These organizations aim to help individual creators compete with the largest companies for consumer attention. Some of these companies are already familiar names, others will be. From websites and communities that provide inspiration, instruction, and designs -- such as Pinterest and Instructables -- to companies like Tech Shop that provide access to tools, to the tool-makers themselves, such as MakerBot and ShopBot, supporting services and platforms are enabling more people to make things.
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For the makers who believe others might also want to see and use their creations, companies like Kickstarter and Indiegogo offer access to funding, firms like Quirky and Shapeways help take ideas to market, while Etsy and Threadless provide marketplaces that can connect makers to consumers. For those who want to reach a larger audience, a growing host of companies are acting as incubators and orchestrators to connect makers with production, manufacturing, and distribution channels.
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The rapidly growing network around makers has enabled a significant shift in power from large companies to individuals. In effect, this network has allowed the little guy, in many cases an individual, to punch above his weight and start nibbling away at the big guys' market share. In Gladwell's view, the underdog has a competitive advantage precisely because he has lacked advantages, making him scrappier, more capable of improvisation, and, most notably, less invested in winning.
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The maker trend represents the democratization of the means of production. And it is happening on a broad scale. It might be tempting, as a big company, to be complacent, to wave this off as a phenomenon limited to the coasts or big cities. That would be a mistake. In the same way that newspapers or the music industry dismissed early Internet efforts and suffered the disruptive consequences, makers are encroaching on the traditional domains of consumer goods and manufacturing. Our colleague Duleesha Kulasooriya notes that, "increasingly, any entrepreneur can have a global storefront and a global audience. Now that building new products is easier, competition can, and will, come from everywhere."






Um antropologista entra num bar... (parte I)

Um artigo cheio de exemplos e mensagens para as empresas. Na HBR de Março de 2014, "An Anthropologist Walks Into a Bar" de Christian Madsbjerg e Mikkel Rasmussen.
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Antes de mais já sabem do papel que reservo aos antropologistas no mundo das empresas (recordar, por exemplo: aqui, aqui e aqui).
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O artigo começa com o caso de uma empresa produtora de cerveja que estava insatisfeita com a evolução das vendas nos bares. Por que é que as vendas não crescem? Um grupo de antropologistas foi enviado para os bares, para estudar o que se passava...
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Resultado, a percepção de que os bares não são todos iguais, por isso:
"Instead of bombarding them with one-size-fits-all promotional materials, it began customizing items for different types of bars and bar owners. It trained its salespeople to understand each bar owner better and invented a tool to help owners organize sales campaigns. It created in-workplace “academies” to train waitstaf about its brands and won over female servers by providing taxi service for employees who worked late. After two years BeerCo’s pub and bar sales rebounded"
Ehehe, algo que poderiam ter aprendido neste blogue!
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Outro ponto importante, em sintonia com este blogue, a opinião sobre o Big Data:
"According to a recent global study of 1,500 CEOs conducted by IBM, ... The research also reveals that CEOs see a lack of customer insight as their biggest deficit in managing complexity. They prioritize gaining customer insight far above other decision-related tasks and rank “customer obsession” as the most critical leadership trait.
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Accordingly, many companies are turning to customer research that is powered by big data and analytics. Although that approach can provide astonishingly detailed pictures of some aspects of their markets, the pictures are far from complete and are often misleading. It may be possible to predict a customer’s next mouse click or purchase, but no amount of quantitative data can tell you why she made that click or purchase. Without that insight, companies cannot close the complexity gap.
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In the rush to reduce consumers to strings of ones and zeros, marketers and strategists are losing sight of the human element. Consumers are people, after all. They’re often irrational, and they’re sometimes driven by motives that are opaque even to themselves. Yet most marketers cling to assumptions about their customers’ behavior that have been shaped by their organizational culture, the biases of the firm’s managers, and, increasingly, the vast but imperfect data stream fowing in."
Outra preocupação deste blogue, a concentração na experiência do cliente, em vez dos atributos da oferta:
"At the core of sensemaking lies the practice of phenomenology: the study of how people experience life. Management science can tell Starbucks, for example, how many cups of cofee its customers will drink in a day; phenomenology reveals how those customers perceive the cofee experience."
Continua.

terça-feira, fevereiro 25, 2014

Curiosidade do dia

Ainda me lembro de, no âmbito de um projecto há cerca de 2 anos, para avaliar o impacte de uma ferramenta de marketing, discutirmos como é que se podia medir o número de visitantes a um espaço comercial. Desistimos, não havia nada fiável e comportável. Pois bem:





E vão viver de quê? Querem mesmo saber?

Segundo os produtores de cortisol não temos hipóteses, mas há quem esteja no terreno a fazer a diferença:
Primeiro, de uma longa série.

Para pessoas mas também para empresas

Uma regra geral aplicável às empresas é:
Por isso, para apostar no aumento nível de vida dos trabalhadores a via mais directa é a aposta na diferenciação.
"When you understand your essence, you start to understand how you can make it work for you [Moi ici: Aquilo a que chamo fazer batota. Perceber o que nos distingue para, depois, começar a usar esse trunfo de forma consciente]– or how it might be working against you if you’re putting yourself in the wrong kind of context. Your essence is like a door that opens on the great work of your soul, or what Kelley calls your true purpose. When you see who you are, you start to know what you can do – and how it connects to something much bigger than yourself.
The glorious paradox of onlyness is that it sets you apart even as it connects you to others."



"Unscale" cheira-me sempre a trabalho de duende e isso é bom

Música celestial para este blogue em "Technology Unlocks “Economies Of Unscale” For Small Businesses".
"That’s why I’m excited about the development of next-generation business platforms that provide small business owners with simple and beautiful tools to compete. We’re finally moving beyond byzantine processes and complicated workflows to mobile-enabled software centered on clarity and accessibility. As a consequence, we are slowly witnessing the genesis of a “new economies of unscale,” in which small businesses aided by these platforms can suddenly defeat even the largest of corporations [Moi ici: Embora esse não deva ser o objectivo, pode, excepcionalmente, transformar-se numa consequência. David deve seguir o seu caminho que é servir algumas tribos que estão fora da caixa. David aspirar a ser uma "large corporation" é esquecer-se que o Estranhistão está aí e que há cada vez menos gente dentro da caixa]– and become household names."

"Unscale" cheira-me sempre a trabalho de duende e isso é bom, muito bom, para as PMEs.

A doença

Via Scott McKain no Twitter, cheguei a isto:
"Every 10% of market share gained by dominant
companies leads to a 1.5% fall in customer satisfaction"
Recordar o que escrevi sobre a quota de mercado aqui:
"quota de mercado (por mim, não uso este objectivo estratégico, porque pode envenenar muita coisa e destruir margens)"
Ou os títulos:
"Não confundir quota de mercado com lucro" e "E a sua empresa, tem mais olhos que barriga?" e "The Profit Zone (parte II)"
Nunca esquecer:
"volume is vanity profit is sanity" 

segunda-feira, fevereiro 24, 2014

Curiosidade do dia

Enfim, a conversa do costume, incumbentes a pedir a intervenção do Estado para os proteger:

Nenhuma novidade, recuando a 2007 neste blogue temos "Big Man economy em todo o seus esplendor" e "Portugal é um país de incumbentes"

E vão viver de quê? (parte II)

Para uns só exportamos combustíveis, segundo as estatísticas. Esquecem "Um outro olhar sobre os números das exportações".
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Por isso, não percebem o efeito na economia destes números espalhados por aqui e por ali:

A escolha dos pivôs (parte III)

Parte I e parte II.
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O que fazer depois de identificados e seleccionados os pivôs do ecossistema da procura que interessa à nossa empresa?
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Não é novidade aqui no blogue; contudo, como santos da casa não fazem milagres e, a galinha da vizinha é melhor que a minha, voltemos a Simons e ao seu segundo passo:
"Once you’ve determined who your primary customer is, the next step is to identify which product and service attributes the customer values. [Moi ici: Aqui no blogue já estamos noutra, produtos e serviços são artifícios para gerar a experiência, para produzir um resultado na vida do cliente. Isso é o que realmente conta] Within the same market and industry, different primary customers may value different things: Some demand the lowest possible price, others want a dedicated service relationship, and still others are looking for the best technology or brand or other specific attribute. To complicate matters, customers often don’t know exactly what it is they value.
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Let’s take the easy part first. Assume you have already chosen the best primary customer and have a good working idea of what the customer wants.
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Such data can help you fine-tune a product or a website’s functionality to better meet your customer’s known needs. They’re unlikely, though, to help you identify what your customers want but aren’t getting. For that, you need to actually ask them. Smart companies set up systematic dialogues with their primary customers. [Moi ici: Por isso, cuidado com o Big Data]
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you should set up processes for identifying products or services that customers may not know they need.
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Most companies assume that their products and services meet the needs of their customers. But surprisingly few actually test this assumption. So ask yourself, What are the processes we use to make sure that we truly understand what our customers value and that we can deliver value better than our competitors do?"