.
Para reduzir o esforço de escolher.
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Como dizem Gigerenzer, Kahneman e os irmãos Heath, escolher cansa o músculo do cérebro.
"trabalha numa indústria com muito potencial [Moi ici: calçado] e que tem mostrado força no combate das dificuldades. Mesmo assim, apela a apoios à exportação por parte do Governo seja ele qual for.
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Nos próximos quatro anos o que é que gostaria que acontecesse para ajudar a indústria onde opera?
O apoio às PME porque com capitais nossos temos uma dimensão e com apoios estatais lançamo-nos mais.
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O apoio para estarem presentes em feiras não são suficientes?
Não.
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Então ao que se está a referir?
Apoio à exportação e à indústria porque tem vivido anos difíceis."
"“Estamos a crescer 20% nas exportações — em 2014 vendemos para fora do país €14,5 milhões e este ano vamos exportar €18 milhõesFica-se com a ideia de que os subsídios são para quem tem sucesso... pensava que eram mais para apoiar o arranque de algo novo (empresas novas ou empresas a precisar de uma nova vida)
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a indústria portuguesa do sector não beneficia de um cêntimo desses direitos alfandegários cobrados” [Moi ici: Aos produtos chineses que entram na UE]. “Se essas verbas revertessem para o sector, os centros de tecnologia já teriam dinheiro para investir”"
"A Decentralized Transportation Platform owned by the community and utilising vehicles` unused space to create a variety of smart transportation solutions."
"Desperate to replace the subscribers it was losing, Time ran blatantly promotional ads that were disconnected from the traditional image campaign it had under way - one that emphasized the heritage and quality of Time journalism and highlighted the brand’s personality. Thus the magazine unwittingly set up an experiment, and the results quickly flooded in. The promotional ads were so effective that Time soon killed off its brand campaign. A truly sad aspect of the case is that the editors had been working hard to create a better Time for a sped-up era. They knew they had one of the strongest brands for news in a world that had suddenly become news-obsessed. Their circulation-focused colleagues, by doubling down on the “call now” offers, not only failed to communicate that - they implicitly conveyed a lack of faith in the brand."
"Lesson #1: Do not play a strictly dominated strategy meu Deus, tantas empresas que violam esta primeira lição para viverem em sobressalto permanente, em recuo permanente, tempo emprestado. Teimam em desempenhar o papel de formigas num piquenique"
"Lesson #1: Do not play a strictly dominated strategy"
"o terceiro-mundismo vive da urgência dos objectivos a atingir. Essa é também uma das razões por que gera insegurança e pobreza."A relacionar com "Complexity" e a Via Negativa.
"“if you were consulting with a company that was going to begin offering custom products, what would be the five things they’d need to do in order to succeed?” Here’s what he had to say:
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1) Focus on adding customer value!
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2) Get your customizable options right. It’s less about unlimited options and more about offering exactly the options where customers want choice.
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3) Customize your customization. Get a configurator that adapts automatically to different customer profiles and any background information you have about a customer.
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4) Don’t underestimate the challenges of scalability. Delivering a few custom products is easy; fulfilling a high volume of custom orders in a limited time frame can be very hard.
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5) View customization as a journey. Flexibility and the ability to rapidly adapt and change your product offerings are some of the key advantages of mass customization."
"Aumentar o número de receitas do turismo é a grande aposta do sector, que todos os anos bate recordes em termos de visitantes. Só no ano passado recebemos 16 milhões de turistas e a ideia é continuar a subir. Do início do ano até Agosto recebemos mais de 11 milhões de viajantes.Pois...
...
Já em termos de gastos, os turistas estrangeiros despenderam, em média, 29 milhões de euros por dia no ano passado. Feitas as contas, foram gastos 10,4 mil milhões de euros. “Além do crescimento continuado de turistas, já temos um crescimento de receitas superior ao crescimento do número de turistas. Temos feito um upgrade do gasto médio dos turistas que nos visitam”,
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nos últimos dois anos e meio, não estarmos a assistir a uma redução dos preços médios praticados. “Hoje, quando falamos em número de turistas e na receita que estes turistas deixam, é de 1 para 1,5, ou seja, é 50% superior o número de receitas versus o número de turistas. E é uma tendência que irá continuar e contraria a tendência de alguns concorrentes nossos em que o crescimento é feito à custa da variável preço”,
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este sector, que já é responsável por cerca de 6% do produto interno bruto (PIB), um valor muito acima quando comparado com o peso nos restantes países europeus, em que ronda a casa dos 3%.
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Depois de a balança comercial do país neste sector se ter fixado nos sete mil milhões de euros em 2014, este ano deverá atingir um valor próximo dos 7,8 mil milhões de euros.
O sector tem também um peso importante no aumento das receitas directas e indirectas que gera, contribuindo com cerca de 46% das exportações dos serviços e mais de 14% das exportações totais"
"Marketers have always had to strike a careful balance between brand building and short-term sales promotion.
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Today that balance is harder to strike than ever because of big data and analytics and the highly targeted promotions they enable. The temptation to neglect brand investments in the pursuit of sure sales is nearly irresistible.
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To protect your brand, make every message do double duty. Use insights from data to make the long-term case for brand investments. Don’t pursue sales offers you can’t defend in brand terms."
"Seja você um adolescente ou um empresário calejado, cair na conversa de um político pode invariavelmente custar parte importante do seu futuro. Acreditar que economias sempre crescem é um dos erros mais constantes da política, mas possuem pouca relação com a realidade, que está mais para a soma do custo de decisões certas e erradas – sejam elas da política, de uma grande empresa ou mesmo do seu cotidiano."Trecho retirado de "5 empresários que apostaram no governo para crescer e quebraram a cara"
"The sales force is more important than ever. Regardless of which path customers take, or in which order they take them, they want to deal with people who can help them move toward a purchase decision, be the internal champion at the vendor, and bring it together for that customer. In fact, B2B buyers report that, compared to other sources of information, these interactions are the most influential in their decision making process:Trechos retirados de "What Salespeople Need to Know About the New B2B Landscape"
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The source considered the least influential is social media. Don’t believe the hype. Sales people have not been replaced by digital, and providing relevant solutions remains key in most B2B buying scenarios.
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business buyers must justify a decision to others in the organization, especially as capital expenditures flow less liberally in many industries since the financial crisis of 2008. And you are naïve or spending too much time on your smartphone if you believe that a combination of economics, solution identification, product application, risk management, and political journey through the buyer’s organization is now handled predominately online in most buying scenarios and without knowledgeable and savvy sales help."
"ISO 9001 2015 insistir na formalização de estratégias quando por natureza as PMEs, em PRT ou no resto do mundo, procuram a ISO 9001 como instrumento comercial de validação da boa organização, vai ser o fim da ISO 9001. Estratégia nunca existe formalizada em empresas que precisam de obter certificados de boa organização. é sempre navegação à vista ou abstracção insuficiente. A burocracia acrescida vai ser a gota de água que vai fazer com que deixe de valer a pena manter ISO 9001. É este o argumento que já defendo para a XXXXX."
- Fumei mas não inaleiQuem lê este blogue sabe como sou um apaixonado pela estratégia. No entanto, não sei se foi uma boa opção a forma atamancada como entrou na versão de 2015. Fala-se em orientação estratégica e, depois, em lado nenhum se define o que é.
"There is a potential farmer shortage looming on the horizon. If you’re in the food business, naturally, you can see why this could give you indigestion.Como a Natureza tem horror ao vazio ele acabará por ser ocupado:
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According to the U.S. Department of Agriculture , the average age of the American farmer is 58.3 years old, and only 6 percent of farmers are under 35. In the next quarter century, more than one-fourth of American farmers will likely retire. More than 700,000 new farmers are going to be needed to replace them."
"we’re going to have to make some large-scale changes to how we farm.
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Fruits and vegetables grown indoors tend to have far greater yields per area than comparable produce grown outside. Put a roof and walls around produce, and most problems caused by weeds, pests and inclement weather vanish. Add technology like hydroponics—growing plants so the roots sit in a customized nutrient slurry instead of in plain old dirt—to the equation, and yields increase even more. Better yet, build a hydroponic rig that is modular, rotates and stacks—which means you can have several “stories” of produce growing atop the same ground (assuming the stacks all get sufficient light), where an outdoor farmer would be stuck with only one.
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Aeroponics, a companion technology to hydroponics, has taken off in Japan and is helping high-tech greenhouses produce remarkable yields remarkably quickly: Unlike hydroponic systems, where plants dip their roots in nutrient slurry, aeroponic systems spray the plants’ deliberately exposed roots with a nutrient-laden mist. “The root systems grow much longer because they have to increase their surface area to absorb the same amount of nutrients,” explains Despommier. That, in turn, makes the plants grow much faster.
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the plants grown in these pinkhouses grow 20 percent faster than their outdoor cousins, and need 91 percent less water, negligible fertilizer and no treatment with herbicides or pesticides.
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perhaps we ought to be preparing for a future where the majority of our produce is grown industrially in LED-lined skyscrapers made of steel and poured concrete.
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Chew on this stat: In the U.S., as much as 40 percent of produce grown is never sold or eaten. The reason? It’s too ugly.
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Consumers won’t buy imperfect fruit and vegetables, and grocery stores refuse to stock them. The demand for “pretty” produce means fruit and vegetable farmers need to make up for the cost of all that food they can’t sell. As a result, the produce currently sold in groceries is just what can make for fat profit margins.
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with produce, freshness fetches a premium; the shorter a distance a piece of produce has to travel before it reaches your plate, the tastier it’ll be and the more you’ll pay for it. And controlled environments allow farmers to grow their produce right next door to where it’s sold."
"It has long been assumed that companies develop new products for consumers, while consumers are passive recipients — merely buying and consuming what producers create. However, a multidecade effort by many researchers has shown that this traditional innovation paradigm is fundamentally flawed: Consumers themselves are a major source of product innovations.Qual a empresa mais bem preparada para tirar partido deste tipo de interacção, a empresa grande ou a PME?
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Recently, this consumers-as-innovators pattern has led to the framing of a new innovation paradigm, in which consumers play a central and very active role. Rather than seeing consumers simply as “the market,” as the traditional innovation model has long taught, this new paradigm centers on consumers and other product users. It explains why consumers are very important innovators who often develop products on their own."
a reacção de quase pânico ao relatório da OMS sobre as carnes ilustra bem o efeito de anos e anos de nanny-state. parvoíce atrás de parvoíce
— Carlos P da Cruz (@ccz1) October 28, 2015
Vi muitos empresários do sector a recusarem falar sobre o tema com receio de não o dominarem e, vi muitos mais dizerem parvoíces e enunciarem argumentação de chachada."It is widely believed that restructuring has boosted productivity by displacing low-skilled workers and creating jobs for the high skilled."Mas, e como isto é profundo:"In essence, creative destruction means that low productivity plants are displaced by high productivity plants." Por favor voltar a trás e reler esta última afirmação.
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"Lovaglia’s Law: The more important the outcome of a decision, the more people will resist using evidence to make it."
"If an organisation is too stable it can ossify, but if it is too unstable it can disintegrate. Successful organisations work between these two conditions or states, in what Stacey called ‘the chaos zone’."
"If the customer doesn't care about the price, then the retailer shouldn't care about the cost,"
“It's not enough that we do our best; sometimes we have to do what's required”.
"Das Leben, das uns gegeben ist, ist uns nicht als etwas Fertiges gegeben, sondern wir müssen es uns gestalten, und zwar jeder sein eigenes."
"Eine Regierung, die nichts wert ist, kostet am meisten."
"Forget trying to persuade them; light their pants on fire."
"O futuro é o que importa. O futuro é a base do significado, é de onde vem o projecto que alguém tem para si próprio"
"The single biggest problem in communication is the illusion that it has taken place."
“It is not the strongest of the species that survives, nor the most intelligent; it is the one that is most adaptable to change.”
"o Marketing só existe a partir do pensamento estratégico, caso contrário "não resulta""
"It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends upon his not understanding it"
"Perder diversidade é como arrancar páginas de um livro. Quantas páginas poderemos arrancar até deixar de compreender o enredo?"
The great enemy of the truth is very often not the lie – deliberate, contrived and dishonest – but the myth, persistent, persuasive, and unrealistic. Belief in myths allows the comfort of opinion without the discomfort of thought."
"By strategy, I mean a cohesive response to a challenge. A real strategy is neither a document nor a forecast but rather an overall approach based on a diagnosis of a challenge. The most important element of a strategy is a coherent viewpoint about the forces at work, not a plan."
"Un desastre està punt de succeir a Espanya. El malentès de la gravetat de la crisi costarà car als inversors, ja que tindrà profundes conseqüències per a tot el sistema bancari europeu", afirma.
Entre d'altres coses, Mauldin diu que "els inversors estan fumant crack si creuen que els bancs espanyols són entre els més forts d'Europa, ja que estan amagant les seves pèrdues".
“… there are no “sunset” industries condemned to disappear in high wage economies, although there are certainly sunset and condemned strategies, among them building a business on the advantages to be gained by cheap labor”
"o vencedor da vida, o optimista que vive em incesto com o próprio ego, é o traço mais frágil do líder"
"We shall not grow wiser before we learn that much
that we have done was very foolish."
You may not be able to change the world but can at least get some entertainment & make a living out of the epistemic arrogance of the human race.
"I wanted you to see what real courage is, instead of getting the idea that courage is a man with a gun in his hand. It's when you know you're licked before you begin but you begin anyway and you see it through no matter what. You rarely win, but sometimes you do."
“Trust your guts. But not too much!”
"Customers will try 'low-cost providers,' because the majors have not given them any clear reason not to." "
"Natal é quando as Crianças pedem e os Pais pagam. Défices é quando os Pais pedem e as Crianças pagam."
"A imprevidência dos povos é infinita, a dos governos é legal"
"What a man sees depends both upon what he looks at and also upon what his previous visual-conceptual experience has taught him to see"
“The leaders first task is to be the trumpet that sounds a clear sound”
"lamented the lack of any systematic data on the scale of unfunded IOUs that care-free politicians have handed out like confetti."
"Let them call me rebel and welcome, I feel no concern from it; but I should suffer the misery of devils, were I to make a whore of my soul..."
O problema não é o consumo. O problema é o consumo assente em endividamento."
"There are designations, like "economist", "prostitute", or "consultant" for which additional characterization doesn't add information."
When it becomes more difficult to suffer than change, you will change"
"Hope is not a strategy and a crisis is a terrible thing to waste"
The more you can see of the present, the more you can see of the future"
Yes, You can change the future, but only changing the present"
"Entrepreneurship is 'Having aspirations greater than your resources'"
“The single biggest reason companies fail is they overinvest in what is, as opposed to what might be."
"The first principle is that you must not fool yourself - and you are the easiest person to fool. So you have to be very careful about that"
"A estabilidade é uma ilusão"
"When we create the conditions of possibility, the universe becomes our co-conspirator"
Thinking about doing is not doing. Talking about doing is not doing. Doing is doing."
"'God has created me to do him some definite service. He has committed some work to me which he has not committed to another'.
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"Each of us has a mission, each of us is called to change the world, to work for a culture of life, a culture forged by love and respect for the dignity of each human person.
"As our Lord tells us in the Gospel we have just heard, our light must shine in the sight of all, so that, seeing our good works, they may give praise to our heavenly Father."
"The future is not there waiting for us. We create it by the power of imagination."
"confusing testosterone with strategy is a bad idea"
"Much consulting involves the application of models to a system, as opposed to getting involved in the system as a positive change agent""
"O Portugal que pára sem orçamento é precisamente aquele que vive dele e que há todo o interesse em parar."
"credibilidade da política financeira e dos seus executores está ao nível da credibilidade de uma barraca das farturas"
"The role of the manager is thought to be reduction of uncertainty rather than the capacity to live creatively in it"
"today an entrepreneur is closer to artists than managers"
"A business without a path to profit isn’t a business, it’s a hobby"
"If no one’s upset by what you’re saying, you’re probably not pushing hard enough. (And you’re probably boring, too.)"
"Storytelling isn’t just how we construct our identities, stories are our identities"
"'He who has a why to live can bear almost any how' "
"They can because they think they can"
"Se há coisa que não suporto é misturar catequese com negócios, é a incapacidade para calçar os sapatos do outro e só pensar na nossa posição de coitadinhos, pobres vítimas indefesas dos maus e que por isso precisamos do Estado todo poderoso para nos proteger e, nem percebem na volta, os juros que o Estado cobra por esse serviço mafioso de protecção que, ainda por cima não resolve nada."
"Empathy is like a universal solvent. Any problem immersed in empathy becomes soluble."
"In victory, do not brag; in defeat, do not weep"
"Value it's a feeling not a calculation"
"An economist is someone who has had a human being described to him, but has never actually seen one."
"Don't finish first--it's not about running a rat race. Start with a better ending in mind."
"If you sit in on a poker game and don’t see a sucker, get up. You’re the sucker.”
"The 'value added' for most any company, tiny or enormous, comes from the Quality of Experience provided."
"Crediting government with the success of entrepreneurs is like crediting the guy who built Bill Gates’ garage with the success of Microsoft."
"I have found that assuming social scientists understand the difference between correlation and causality is not generally a good one."
"Promising never to raise taxes, without reaching a deal on spending, really means a high and rising commitment to future taxes."
"Some things are so foolish that only an intellectual could believe them, for no ordinary man could be such a fool"
"os bancos não financiam a economia, a poupança sim"
"I do not know the key to success, but the key to failure is trying to please everybody"
"Never be afraid to try, remember... Amateurs built the ark. Professionals built the Titanic."
"terms such as 'experiment' and 'observation' cover complex processes containing many strands. 'Facts' come from negotiations between different parties and the final product - the published report - is influenced by physical events, dataprocessors, compromises, exhaustion, lack of money, national pride and so on."
"'science in the making' is 'the consequence of [a] settlement' of 'controversies'."
"If the state wishes to spend more, it can do so only by borrowing your savings or taxing you more. And it's no good thinking someone else will pay, that someone else is you."
"All failures of strategy are rooted in the assumption that outcomes are predictable."
"Doing things like your bigger competitors is how to get killed in the wars out there"
“Uma moeda boa e forte é como a saúde. Só lhe damos verdadeiramente valor quando não a temos.”
"Life’s tough. It’s tougher if you’re stupid"
"O homem de bem exige tudo de si próprio; o homem medíocre espera tudo dos outros"
"Change is a threat when done to me, but an opportunity when done by me."
"As elites foram deixando de falar das exportações à medida que se foi percebendo que o país consegue exportar sem elas"
"Your toughest competition is the little voice inside your head telling you to stop"
"Pain is just weakness leaving your body"
"Built to last" is bad economics. Built to do something great" is the better idea. Think: "Creative destruction."
"the world is an uncertain place no matter how many Greek letter equations you affix to a problem."
"You never change things by fighting existing reality. To change s.th., build a new model making the existing model obsolete"
“No, no, you're not thinking; you're just being logical.”
"Success is not a destination. It's the trail you leave behind you."
"Winners make a habit of manufacturing their own positive expectations in advance of the event."
“You’ve got to start with the customer experience and work back toward the technology – not the other way around”
"Strategy as the "smallest set of - intended or actual - choices and decisions sufficient to guide all other choices and decisions sufficient to guide all other choices and decisions."
"When something is commoditized, an adjacent market becomes valuable"
"nature evolves away from constraints, not toward goals"
"There aren't any textbooks on what to stop doing!"
"With great power comes great irresponsibility "
"Weird things happen when you take price out of the equation for consumers"
"‘It’s so damn complex. If you ever think you have the solution to this, you’re wrong and you’re dangerous.’"
"Saruman believes it is only great power that can hold evil in check, but that is not what I have found. I found it is the small everyday deeds of ordinary folk that keep the darkness at bay. Small acts of kindness and love."
"Increasing stuff that doesn't add value dilutes existing value."
"O federalismo não é a alternativa à troika, é a troika para sempre."
"Never underestimate the difficulty of changing false beliefs by facts"
"Stressors are information"
“If you hear a “prominent” economist using the word ‘equilibrium,’ or ‘normal distribution,’ do not argue with him; just ignore him, or try to put a rat down his shirt.”
"The advantage of experiences over things for most of us is that we can make them seem unique, which = scarce, which = value"
"Pedras no caminho?
Guardo todas, um dia vou construir um castelo"
"Without risk, faith is an impossibility."
"Não posso com quem vive a achar que os outros lhe devem sempre alguma coisa."
"In a world of increasing automation, our ability to perform tasks is not nearly as important as our ability to dream. The questions we need to ask are not ones of action, but ones of meaning"
"Me arrancam tudo a força e depois me chamam de contribuinte."
"Letting people vote for expensive programs that “somebody else” will finance is a good recipe for getting people to vote irresponsibly"
"what's fairness gotta do with pricing based in value?"
"The epic battle of our generation is between the status quo of mass and the never-ceasing tide of weird."
“Price is emotional”
"There will always be a reason why you can't pursue it, until competitors create a reason why you must."
"The most important thing to study is opening theory"
"The greater the contrast, the greater the potential"
“Customers don't care about your solution, they care about their problems.”
"Todos querem conhecer a verdade, mas o que desejam é que lhes contem uma mentira em que não sejam protagonistas."
"Execution efficiency strangles innovation in the crib, but not with malice, by default.”
"Our obsession with scalability is getting in the way of unleashing the potential of the 21st century."
"The system is optimized to mitigate risk, not create value"
"Champions are made when no one is looking"
"Don't bargain on value. Half as expensive is often twice as cheap."
"Customers care about outcomes, not effort, technology, or originality."
"
"You don't have to pick between 1) playing the game and 2) not playing the game. You can *change* the game."
""The first principle is that you must not fool yourself and you are the easiest person to fool." "