"Os indicadores mais avançados do INE mostram que em Setembro e Outubro, a actividade económica e o clima económica, respectivamente, desaceleraram. No consumo, também não há optimismo."
"Em outubro, o indicador coincidente mensal para a atividade económica voltou a aumentar, prosseguindo a trajetória iniciada em julho. Por sua vez, o indicador coincidente mensal para o consumo privado mantém-se estável desde maio, após a diminuição observada no início de 2016"
"Com o setor da construção "bastante parado" em Portugal, "o recurso tem sido o mercado externo", havendo empresas "que vendem praticamente tudo" para fora, constatou, sublinhando que a cerâmica portuguesa acaba por estar presente "em todos os continentes", com a Europa a ser o principal mercado.Conheço pessoas assim. Posso dizer que desconfio que o fazem sem maldade, pessoas que são incapazes de ver que querem para si o que negam aos outros.
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Todavia, o cariz marcadamente exportador deste setor leva também a algumas "dificuldades e condicionalismos", sobretudo numa altura em que surgem cada vez mais vozes a defender economias mais protecionistas, disse à agência Lusa José Luís Sequeira, considerando que essa "onda" está a criar alguma instabilidade e dúvidas
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"Hoje, podemos fazer uma aposta muito forte num determinado mercado e corremos o risco de, dois anos depois, perder essa aposta, por razões de conjuntura política", constatou o presidente da associação que representa um setor que tem nos Estados Unidos 9% das suas exportações.
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Todas as restrições "que países possam fazer à entrada de produtos da Europa penalizam as nossas empresas e exportações", frisou, defendendo que a diplomacia económica por parte do Governo "é importantíssima"."
"A exportação de frutas e legumes no período compreendido entre janeiro e setembro sofreu um crescimento homólogo de 6,6%.
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Este crescimento traduz-se, segundo um comunicado do Ministério da Agricultura, em mais 58,5 milhões de euros do que o valor registado no mesmo período do ano passado." (fonte)
"As exportações da cerâmica aumentaram 25% entre 2009 e 2015, ascendendo aos 659 milhões de euros, e a Associação Portuguesa das Indústrias da Cerâmica espera que 2016 seja o melhor "ano de sempre" para as exportações do setor. Em 2015, as exportações do setor da cerâmica já tinham atingindo o seu máximo histórico e 2016 promete ser o "melhor de sempre", face ao aumento de quase 8% face a 2015 nas exportações portuguesas de produtos cerâmicos entre janeiro e setembro," (fonte)
"As exportações de vinho verde aumentaram 8% até setembro, face a igual período de 2015, com vendas de mais de 20 milhões de litros e uma faturação recorde de 48 milhões de euros" (fonte)"God only knows what we'd be without you"
"Jobs theory essentially transforms products into services. [Moi ici: O mesmo que a Service Dominant Logic, ou tudo é serviço e o produto não passa de um avatar do serviço] "What matters is not the product attributes you rope together, but the experiences you enable to help your customers make the progress they want to make,"
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jobs are discovered, not created.
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Or consider things people don't want to do ("negative jobs" in the language of the book), such as taking a sick kid to the pediatrician on a busy workday."
"Our study looks at all U.S. manufacturing plants from 1997 through 2007, an important and diverse sector of the U.S. economy where we can get detailed data on plant operations and that is responsible for about a quarter of all U.S. M&A deals.Trechos retirados de "Mergers May Be Profitable, but Are They Good for the Economy?"
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On average, we find that mergers do not have a discernible effect on productivity and efficiency. Specifically, we do not find evidence for plant-level productivity changes, nor do we find evidence for the consolidation of administrative activities that is often cited as a way in which mergers yield lower costs through economies of scale. We also don’t find evidence that merged firms are more likely to close down less-efficient plants. By contrast, we find substantial average increases in the amount that firms mark up prices over cost following a merger, ranging from 15% to over 50%, depending on the control group we use."
"In 1997, after many advances and setbacks, IBM’s Deep Blue finally bested the world’s greatest player, Garry Kasparov.Trechos retirados de "What's wrong with big data?"
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But something strange happened to chess after 1997. Instead of capitulating, its masters rethought their own thinking. The following year, Kasparov opened the first tournament of what has come to be known as Advanced Chess. In Advanced Chess, players are allowed to use a computer to assist them – and the results have been revelatory. Thanks to hardware and software improvements in the years since Deep Blue’s victory, even relatively weak computers now routinely beat Grandmasters at tournament level. But as Advanced Chess has shown, relatively weak computers working alongside human players will wipe the floor with the most advanced supercomputers. Collaborative rather than oppositional thinking has yielded radical advances in chess theory, and opened up whole new areas of play."
356 | +2 | 3.85% | 18/11/2016 17:30— SpreadPortugalBot (@SpreadPortugal) November 18, 2016
""The changes that will put a company out of business are those that happen outside the light of its current expectations."Ontem, num projecto ISO 9001, numa empresa a discutir como faria sentido, para aquela empresa em particular, avaliar a satisfação dos seus clientes não pude deixar de pensar:
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But, when researchers pursue the wrong topics or the wrong participants, they often get the wrong answers. How can you ensure that you find what you don't even know you should look for? How can you get outside a box you don't know you're in? Think about conducting some customer case research (CCR).
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It uses interviews and observation to trace the full stories of how real customers spend real money in a product category.
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Under certain circumstances, even the most loyal customers don't do what they usually do. Attitudes alone do not determine behavior."
"This belief in the power of data, of technology untrammelled by petty human worldviews, is the practical cousin of more metaphysical assertions. A belief in the unquestionability of data leads directly to a belief in the truth of data-derived assertions. And if data contains truth, then it will, without moral intervention, produce better outcomes. [Moi ici: Como não recordar este texto de Esko Kilpi que li recentemente "Your facts are not my facts"]
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But you don’t need to look to such extreme examples to see how a belief in technological determinism underlies much of our thinking and reasoning about the world.
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“Big data” is not merely a business buzzword, but a way of seeing the world. Driven by technology, markets and politics, it has come to determine much of our thinking, but it is flawed and dangerous. It runs counter to our actual findings when we employ such technologies honestly and with the full understanding of their workings and capabilities. This over-reliance on data, which I call “quantified thinking”, has come to undermine our ability to reason meaningfully about the world, and its effects can be seen across multiple domains.
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Implicit in Moore’s Law is not only the continued efficacy of technological solutions, but their predictability, and hence the growth of solutionism: the belief that all of mankind’s problems can be solved with the application of enough hardware, software and technical thinking. Solutionism rests on the belief that all complex activities are reducible to measurable variables. [Moi ici: Tudo se resume a mais 900 mil imigrantes à la amador a jogar bilhar] Yet this is slowly being revealed as a fallacy, as our technologies become capable of processing ever larger volumes of data. In short, our engineering is starting to catch up with our philosophy.
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The view that more information uncritically produces better decisions is visibly at odds with our contemporary situation.
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The world is not something we study neutrally, that we gather neutral knowledge about, on which we can act neutrally. Rather, we make the world by understanding it, and the way we understand it changes it.
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“More information” does not produce “more truth”, it endangers it. We cannot stand as dispassionate observers of supposedly truth-making processes while they continue to fail to produce dispassionate ends."
"Reality is no longer viewed as a singular fact of nature but as multiple and socially constructed. In a relational model, identity is constructed from being in relationships, being connected, as contrasted with the mainstream view of identity through separation. Knowledge of self and the other thus becomes viewed as co-constructed, the same way as our future is co-constructed."Recordar Cavaco, os adultos e os factos.
"Department stores are dying, dragging malls down with them to the grave. Big box goliaths collapse under their own weight. And those Main Street businesses that for decades large competitors have pounded into dust? They are doing quite well, thank you.Trechos retirados de "Report: Small Business Survival Rates Are on the Rise"
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The percentage of companies that make it to that magic fifth year rose to 48.7 percent, from 45.9 percent the previous year.[Moi ici: Recordar os 96%]
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The report also shows that the smallest companies are trending upward. Today businesses with between zero and four employees account for 53.1 percent of Main Street companies. That's a jump from 49.5 percent in 1996."[Moi ici: A tendência de Mongo]
"O presidente do Conselho Económico e Social (CES), Correia de Campos, afirmou hoje no parlamento que Portugal precisa de ter cerca de “900 mil trabalhadores imigrantes” para ter “um crescimento à volta dos 3%” do PIB."Num país com 10 milhões de habitantes onde os iriam instalar? Fariam como na Alemanha, deslocariam as pessoas de vilas e aldeias para poderem criar espaços para conter e tentar formatar tanta gente ao mesmo tempo?
"JTBD is a struggle someone has to make life better. Someone has a JTBD when he or she wants to make an improvement but doesn’t know how. When that person finds and can use a solution to make that hoped-for improvement, there is no longer a JTBD."
"At the heart of every difficult decision lie three tough choices: What to pursue versus what to ignore. What to leave in versus what to leave out. What to do versus what to don't. I have discovered that if you focus on the second half of each choice—what to ignore, what to leave out, what to don't—the decision becomes exponentially easier and simpler. The key is to remove the stupid stuff: ... Better yet, refrain from add-ing them in the first place.Quando não se renuncia:
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This is the art of subtraction: when you remove just the right thing in just the right way, something good usually happens.
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I believe subtraction is the path through the haze and maze, one that can allow us to create clarity from complexity and to wage and win the war against the common enemy of excess.
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That's not easy, because subtraction doesn't come naturally or intuitively—not to me, not to anyone. From the days of our ancestors on the savanna, we are hardwired to add and accumulate, hoard and store."
The iPhone 7 if Apple was a democracy 📱😱 (via @JoyofTech) pic.twitter.com/QV9y5h5ar7— The Next Web 📱💻🌍 (@TheNextWeb) January 11, 2016
"It seems reasonable to use these intentions as a basis for forecasting the impact on taxes, trade, demand, employment, and mobility of labor.O que é que uma PME pode fazer, deve fazer, para navegar nesta situação?
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One thing we can say with confidence is that uncertainty will remain high for some time in politics, macroeconomics, and business, at both global and national levels. We can also assume that precise point forecasts are likely to be wrong. Likewise, we know that whatever our historical assumptions have been, many are likely to change as technology advances. And the impacts of policies will be highly specific in nature, degree, and speed for each industry and company.
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The capabilities of adaptation, shaping the business environment, and ambidexterity (the ability to apply different and potentially conflicting approaches to strategy, as described above, in different parts of the business) are typically under-developed in large established companies and will likely become more important. This is necessarily so, since winning in uncertainty requires more than defensive moves, and every company will need to both run and reinvent the business.
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Companies need to detect, interpret, and translate patterns in politics and macroeconomics for business implications. We are living in an era where macro effects can easily swamp competitive and operational considerations. For example, the presence or absence of a trade deal or an interest rate cut can potentially have a bigger impact than reducing cost or increasing marketing."
"Our third industrial revolution will be our last, according to Rifkin. I never say never, but he is confident this will mark the end of mass employment.Tudo coisas que aqui defendemos:
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But in Rifkin’s rosier view, “prosumers” will create and share physical products and services the same way we do WordPress posts today. “We’ll spend part of our day sharing, part of the day making money.”
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The most ambitious part of Jeremy’s vision is people will use tools like 3D printing, apps, and GPS to create cooperatives powerful enough to kill off Uber. Yes, kill off Uber."
