Confundir efeito com causa (parte I)
- as frases de Maliranta e de Nassim Taleb que ao longo dos anos vamos citando aqui no blogue;
- a pirâmide do flying geese
Há dias escrevemos este postal, Emprego, marketing e subida na escala de valor, onde abordamos o tema da destruição de emprego qualificado e o crescimento do emprego não qualificado. Nestes postais, Tudo vai depender do tal jogo de forças (parte V), e Turn, turn, turn - versão de 2023, abordo o impacte da saída da produção industrial na China.
Ontem, no WJS encontrei "The Disappearing White-Collar Job" onde li:
"For generations of Americans, a corporate job was a path to stable prosperity. No more.
The jobs lost in a monthslong cascade of white-collar layoffs triggered by overhiring and rising interest rates might never return, corporate executives and economists say.
...
"We may be at the peak of the need for knowledge workers," [Moi ici: Típico pensamento anglo-saxónico] said Atif Rafig, a former chief digital officer at McDonald's and Volvo. "We just need fewer people to do the same thing."
Long after robots began taking manufacturing jobs, artificial intelligence is now coming for the higher-ups-accountants, software programmers, human-resources, specialists and lawyers-and converging with unyielding pressure on companies to operate more efficiently.
...
During past periods when higher interest rates pitched the U.S. economy into recession, job losses were often led by industries most sensitive to rate changes, such as manufacturing and construction.
...
Layoffs in the information sector were up 88% in March from a vear earlier and up 55% in finance and insurance, the data show. For manufacturing, they were up 25% ever the same period.
Companies are for the moment focused on keeping bluecollar employees-restaurant servers, warehouse workers, drivers and the like-who remain in short supply, according to economists and humanresources specialists.
...
Whole Foods and Disney announced layoffs in recent weeks that largely hit corporate staff while sparing such customer-service jobs as grocery clerk and hourly theme park attendant.
...
Payroll data from more than 300,000 small- and medium-size businesses showed that wages for new hires had generally declined in April from a year ago but fell most rapidly in white-collar professions, such as finance and insurance"
O desconhecido difícil para os agentes portugueses é conhecido fácil para agentes estrangeiros - daí Tamanho, produtividade e a receita irlandesa.
Já há uns tempos que sinto que estamos a ficar maduros para uma revolução semelhante à que Cavaco encabeçou quando libertou a economia à iniciativa privada (bancos, televisões, jornais, empresas nacionalizadas com o 11 de Março...) pena que alguns se distraiam com a engenharia social.
Sem comentários:
Enviar um comentário