segunda-feira, maio 06, 2013

"should never tell us what to do"

Uma verdade importante:
"Sometimes, even when an economic theory makes sense, its application cannot be imposed from a model, in a top-down manner, so one needs the organic self-driven trial and error to get us to it. For instance, the concept of specialization that has obsessed economists since Ricardo (and before) blows up countries when imposed by policy makers, as it makes the economies error-prone; but it works well when reached progressively by evolutionary means, with the right buffers and layers of redundancies. Another case where economists may inspire us but should never tell us what to do."
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Recordar o grito "Espanha! Espanha! Espanha!"
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Fugir sempre dos crentes no Grande Planeador, no Grande Geometra, os tais intervencionistas ingénuos.
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Complementa bem a mensagem deste postal "Não é fácil fazer a transição"

Trecho retirado de "Antifragile" de Nassim Taleb.

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