ONE COLD, HARD truth laid bare by the pandemic is how vulnerable a business can become when strategic foresight and operational flexibility are low on the list of priorities for boards and leadership teams.
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strategy needs to change as the world does. Over the past 30 years we've lived through a remarkable era of macrostability, characterized by largely peaceful geopolitics, generally falling interest rates, expanding credit markets, and moderate inflation. During that time, five new trends in the business landscape emerged: globalization, capital superabundance, the declining cost of distance, labor superabundance, and, underlying all those, technology-led innovation. Winning companies adapted their organizations to the trends, embracing such mantras as "Move fast" and "Adapt or die" to create enormous amounts of value.
We've now entered a new era in which new rules apply. It's a time of post-globalization, capital rationalization, spatial dispersion, shrinking workforces, and dependence on automation. Meanwhile, technology-led innovation is only accelerating and compounding. In this environment, the intuitions that leaders have developed over the past few decades will cease to be useful-and the shape of opportunity and risk will be entirely different.
If leaders want to continue creating value in the era of volatility, they must still focus on adaptability. But they'll also need to revive strategies that boost investment in two other capabilities that have fallen out of favor in recent years: resilience and prediction. Ultimately, every company will need a strategy that allocates time, resources, and energy to all three capabilities."
Trechos retirados de "How to Succeed in an Era of Volatility"