quarta-feira, junho 14, 2023

O mundo a mudar

No FT de ontem matéria-prima para análises de contexto.

Por um lado "China is 'cancelled' for many foreign investors"  onde encontrei:

"Overseas investors are selling shares even in profitable internet companies such as Tencent and Alibaba, while becoming reluctant to back the country's most promising start-ups. Venture capital group Sequoia last week became the latest business to bow to rising tensions between Beijing and Washington, announcing a plan to split its China business into a separate entity. Adding to the flight of foreign capital is an unsteady economic recovery that has deflated Chinese tech stocks that had briefly jumped on hopes for the country's post-pandemic reopening. The downward trend has left employees and investors concerned that the depressed valuations for Chinese tech groups listed in New York and Hong Kong may be long-lasting.

"China is getting canceled and the economy is a dumpster fire," said a Hong Kong-based equity analyst." 

Por outro lado "Clients rush for Asia investment products that exclude China" onde encontrei:

"Global fund managers say they are rushing to meet client demand for new Asian investment products that exclude China as investor appetite for the region's largest economy is hit by slowing growth and mounting geopolitical risk.

...

They said demand had been stoked by worsening US-China tension and a rally for the rest of the region that had left Its biggest market behind.

"Investors are concerned about geopolitics," said Minyue Liu, Investment specialist at BNP Paribas Asset Management.

...

"On geopolitics, there are a lot of different opinions among clients but I think that anyone who thought the US-China tension was going to go away is now very aware that it will not," Lees said. "At the same time, clients are seeing that they can get a lot of exposure to China through other markets like Australia, Japan, and South Korea."

However, the main driver of the trend towards ex-China investment was "economic, not geopolitical","

O mundo a mudar.


Entretanto, no JdN de hoje, na última página pode ler-se "Xi prepara megaplano de estímulo económico"... faz-me lembrar os anos 90 e os dirigentes japoneses. Estímulos económicos são para salvar o sistema financeiro.


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