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What you’re after, then, are statistics that reliably reveal cause and effect. (Moi ici: Matéria-prima para um mapa da estratégia) These have two defining characteristics: They are persistent, showing that the outcome of a given action at one time will be similar to the outcome of the same action at another time; and they are predictive—that is, there is a causal relationship between the action the statistic measures and the desired outcome.
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To identify useful statistics, you must have a solid grasp of cause and effect. If you don’t understand the sources of customer satisfaction, for example, you can’t identify the metrics that will help you improve it. (Moi ici: É todo um volume, só com postais deste blogue, sobre quem são os clientes-alvo e porque é que ficarão satisfeitos) This seems obvious, but it’s surprising how often people assign the wrong cause to an outcome. This failure results from an innate desire to find cause and effect in every situation—to create a narrative that explains how events are linked even when they’re not.
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companies also use nonfinancial performance measures, such as product quality, workplace safety, customer loyalty, employee satisfaction, and a customer’s willingness to promote a product. In their 2003 HBR article, accounting professors Christopher Ittner and David Larcker wrote that “most companies have made little attempt to identify areas of nonfinancial performance that might advance their chosen strategy. Nor have they demonstrated a cause-and-effect link between improvements in those nonfinancial areas and in cash flow, profit, or stock price.” The authors’ survey of 157 companies showed that only 23% had done extensive modeling to determine the causes of the effects they were measuring. The researchers suggest that at least 70% of the companies they surveyed didn’t consider a nonfinancial measure’s persistence or its predictive value. Nearly a decade later, most companies still fail to link cause and effect in their choice of nonfinancial statistics.(Moi ici: Estamos a falar do universo norte-americano, não venham depois dizer que os empresários portugueses são isto e são aquilo, são humanos como os outros)
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Start with a blank slate and work through these four steps in sequence.
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1. Define your governing objective. A clear objective is essential to business success because it guides the allocation of capital.
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2. Develop a theory of cause and effect to assess presumed drivers of the objective.
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3. Identify the specific activities that employees can do to help achieve the governing objective. The goal is to make the link between your objective and the measures that employees can control through the application of skill. The relationship between these activities and the objective must also be persistent and predictive.
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4. Evaluate your statistics. Finally, you must regularly reevaluate the measures you are using to link employee activities with the governing objective. The drivers of value change over time, and so must your statistics."
Trechos retirados de "The True Measures of Success" publicado na HBR de Outubro deste ano.
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