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O Pedro Soares teve a amabilidade de me enviar um relatório do BCG intitulado "The Coming Infrastructure Crisis - Is Your Supply Chain Ready?" (peca apenas por se basear sobretudo em projecções lineares do passado projectadas no futuro)
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Alguns títulos de capítulos:
- "Container Port Capacity Is Not Keeping Up with Long-Term Demand
- Land Transport Networks Are Becoming Saturated
- Airports and Airways Are Also Under Pressure"
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"The bottom line is that logistics costs will increase significantly - and companies must rethink and redesign their supply chains or become victims. ... Managers obsessed with fuel costs should also factor in congestion costs, which not only increase the time it takes to move goods but also drive up all operating costs per ton handled.
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The most significant recent change to the supply chains of many companies took place in the 1980s and 1990s, as companies began sourcing from China and other Asian countries. These changes caused supply chains to be more geographically dispersed and complicated as companies sought to achieve the lowest landed-product costs through a combination of low-cost sourcing and world-scale manufacturing facilities. In the pursuit of lower costs, however, many companies saddled themselves with long and sometimes unreliable supply chains that were far harder to manage.
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As infrastructure demand outstrips capacity, companies that built their supply chains over the last 40 years and that ship their goods by some combination of sea, land (rail and road), and air will be profoundly affected.
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(Moi ici: Como lidar com esta situação? Uma das opções propostas pelo BCG é a redução da variabilidade)
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"Generally speaking, the longer your supply chain, the greater is the risk of variability
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Consider sourcing some products closer to home. ... In a growing number of situations, this "near" sourcing results in lower costs at the point of sale. Other companies are moving away from high-volume, world-scale plants that make just a few broadly distributed products, and instead are building smaller plants that make a wider range of products for local markets. Increases in unit production costs are often more than offset by lower logistics costs, faster replenishment cycles, and fewer stockouts and overstocks."
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E o presidente da CIP continua a pensar no porto de Sines!!!
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Quando devia estar a fomentar estudos internos sobre como é que as empresas portuguesas podem aproveitar esta revolução na logística.
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