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quinta-feira, novembro 24, 2011

O socialismo científico - alive and kicking

Tenho idade suficiente para ter ouvido na TV pessoas, como Mário Soares e Vítor Constâncio, falarem com ar sério e compenetrado sobre as vantagens do socialismo científico.
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Ontem, na fita do tempo do twitter, via @GabrielfSilva, encontrei esta tolice decidida pelo Chavismo que está a arrastar a Venezuela para os Infernos:
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«firms will have to report production costs so officials can set what is deemed a fair price.»
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Hoje de manhã, durante o jogging descobri esta pérola sobre o socialismo científico:
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"Allende was elected President of Chile in 1970 on a Marxist platform, and went on to sponsor one of the most surreal examples of the planner’s dream, Project CyberSyn. CyberSyn used a ‘supercomputer’ called the Burroughs 3500, and a network of telex machines, in an attempt to coordinate decision-making in an increasingly nationalised economy.
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Workers – or more usually, managers – would telex reports of production, shortages and other information at 5 o’clock each morning. Operators would feed the information into the Burroughs 3500, and by 5 p.m. a report could be presented to Allende for his executive input. As with the effects-based operations it predated, CyberSyn would allow for feedback and second-order effects. Some CyberSyn defenders argue that the system was designed to devolve decision-making to the appropriately local level, but that does not seem to be what Allende had in mind when he said that, ‘We are and always shall be in favour of a centralised economy, and companies will have to conform to the Government’s planning.’
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The project was not a success. Chile’s economy collapsed, thanks to a combination of the chaos brought on by an ambitious programme of nationalisation, industrial unrest, and overt and covert economic hostility from the United States."
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Só que o socialismo científico travestiu-se e contaminou até os Estados Unidos:
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"Donald Rumsfeld had better computers at his disposal than Salvador Allende, but the dream was much the same: information delivered in detail, real-time, to a command centre from which computer-aided decisions could be sent back to the front line. Rumsfeld pored over real-time data from the theatre of war and sent memos about minor operational qestions to generals such as Abizaid and Casey. But even had Rumsfeld been less of a control freak, the technology was designed to empower a centralised decision maker, be it the secretary of defense or a four-star general.
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But such systems always deliver less than they promise, because they remain incapable of capturing the tacit knowledge that really matters."
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Esta mania do planeamento centralizado... CyberSyn... faz-me lembrar Citius na Justiça por cá.
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Graças a Deus que estamos a entranharmos-nos num mundo, Mongo, onde cada vez mais estas tentativas centralizadoras vão ser ridicularizadas, abandonadas, para darem lugar a um toque local... Ghemawatt e o seu "World 3.0" são apenas mais um exemplo disso.
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Trechos retirados de "Adapt" de Tim Harford que se arrisca a ser a minha melhor leitura de 2011, e mais, é mais uma leitura que vou aconselhar aos meus filhos.
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BTW, H.R. McMaster e David Petraeus, oficiais americanos no Iraque são duas personagens...
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Dedico estas duas citações a todos aqueles que pedem uma estratégia para o país e para a sua economia, a todos aqueles que pensam com uma candura e inocência que a "retoma" (detesto esta palavra) está assente nas acções do ministro Álvaro.
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‘It’s so damn complex. If you ever think you have the solution to this, you’re wrong and you’re dangerous.’ – H.R. McMaster
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‘In the absence of guidance or orders, figure out what they should have been … ’ – part of a sign on a command-post door in west Baghdad, commandeered by David Petraeus