segunda-feira, junho 15, 2015

Como eu os entendo

Tantas e tantas vezes volto a esta figura que desenhei em Julho de 2008:

Como eu os entendo "German industrialists fear cheap money".
.
"Cheap money" significa que:

  • a rentabilidade exigida para iniciar um investimento será mais baixa;
  • muitos investimentos que em condições normais não veriam a luz do dia vão avançar;
  • a oferta vai aumentar muito mais do que a procura.
Podemos ter um festival de bolhas.
"“You hear from national bankers and the ECB that we have to focus in the future on managing bubbles. So this is of course something that concerns me — because quantitative easing is pumping plentiful funds into the economy without actually achieving what is intended. The growth is not really boosted.”
...
“I’m concerned that this will lead to another crazy scenario,” he added. “I have a certain unease. Is this a sustainable, healthy environment? I’m not sure ... I’m concerned that this leads to another bubble.”
...
You also have to look for growth opportunities but one has to be careful and disciplined because obviously the zero money policy leads you in a way that you make investments that you would not make if there was a cost-item related to lending money."
Como li algures, free stuff faz com que as pessoas adoptem comportamentos estranhos.

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