"we should expect unlikely events to occur. The fact that people don't understand this has much more serious consequences when we consider such objectively unlikely events as oil spills and nuclear accidents. More generally, if you don't expect unlikely events to occur, you end up attaching too much significance to them."
terça-feira, março 24, 2015
A propósito de cofres cheios e pedidos de resgate
A propósito de cofres cheios e pedidos de resgate, "Believing things that are not true":
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