"That Time Bomb Called Stability.O capítulo VII, com o sugestivo título "Naive Intervention" faz-me sublinhar logo no início:
We saw that absence of fire lets highly flammable material accumulate. People are shocked and outraged when I tell them that absence of political instability, even war, lets explosive material and tendencies accumulate under the surface.
Seeking stability by achieving stability (and forgetting the second step) (Moi ici: "Forgetting the second step" é aquilo a que chamo há anos "jogar bilhar como um amador". Ver o marcador "jogadores de bilhar amador") has been a great sucker game for economic and foreign policies. The list is depressingly long.
We need to learn to think in second steps, chains of consequences, and side effects.
One of life’s packages: no stability without volatility.
Violence is transferred from individuals to states. So is financial indiscipline. At the center of all this is the denial of antifragility.
in the past, when we were not fully aware of antifragility and self-organization and spontaneous healing, we managed to respect these properties by constructing beliefs that served the purpose of managing and surviving uncertainty. (Moi ici: Era a mão invisível...) We imparted improvements to the agency of god(s). We may have denied that things can take care of themselves without some agency. But it was the gods that were the agents, not Harvard-educated captains of the ship.
So the emergence of the nation-state falls squarely into this progression - the transfer of agency to mere humans. The story of the nation-state is that of the concentration and magnification of human errors. Modernity starts with the state monopoly on violence, and ends with the state’s monopoly on fiscal irresponsibility."
"Let us call this urge to help “naive interventionism."Este tema é um velho conhecido deste blogue:
- A minha solução não passa por aqui (III) (2008)
- Contrarian... as usual (2010)
- O paradoxo que nos atrofia (2011)
Qual o político português, da situação e da oposição, que não sofre desta doença do intervencionismo ingénuo.