domingo, junho 29, 2014

o medo atávico das elites políticas pela destruição criativa

Lembram-se dos campeões nacionais?
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Lembram-se dos centros de decisão nacionais?
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Lembram-se do manifesto dos 40?
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Volto a "Why Nations Fail" de Acemoglu e Robinson:
"The great Roman writer Pliny the Elder relates the following story. During the reign of the emperor Tiberius, a man invented unbreakable glass and went to the emperor anticipating that he would get a great reward. He demonstrated his invention, and Tiberius asked him if he had told anyone else about it. When the man replied no, Tiberius had the man dragged away and killed, “lest gold be reduced to the value of mud.” There are two interesting things about this story. First, the man went to Tiberius in the first place for a reward, rather than setting himself up in business and making a profit by selling the glass. This shows the role of the Roman government in controlling technology. Second, Tiberius was happy to destroy the innovation because of the adverse economic effects it would have had. This is the fear of the economic effects of creative destruction.
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There is also direct evidence from the period of the Empire of the fear of the political consequences of creative destruction. Suetonius tells how the emperor Vespasian, who ruled between AD 69 and 79, was approached by a man who had invented a device for transporting columns to the Capitol, the citadel of Rome, at a relatively small cost. Columns were large, heavy, and very difficult to transport. Moving them to Rome from the mines where they were made involved the labor of thousands of people, at great expense to the government. Vespasian did not kill the man, but he also refused to use the innovation, declaring, “How will it be possible for me to feed the populace?” Again an inventor came to the government. Perhaps this was more natural than with the unbreakable glass, as the Roman government was most heavily involved with column mining and transportation. Again the innovation was turned down because of the threat of creative destruction, not so much because of its economic impact, but because of fear of political creative destruction."
Mais à frente contam a história de homem que inventou uma máquina de tecer no tempo da rainha Isabel I e que lhe pediu a protecção de uma patente, que lhe foi negada. Quando Jaime I subiu ao trono, o homem voltou à carga a pedir a patente que lhe voltou a ser negada:
"James I also refused, on the same grounds as Elizabeth. Both feared that the mechanization of stocking production would be politically destabilizing. It would throw people out of work, create unemployment and political instability, and threaten royal power. The stocking frame was an innovation that promised huge productivity increases, but it also promised creative destruction."
E os autores rematam:
"The fear of creative destruction is the main reason why there was no sustained increase in living standards between the Neolithic and Industrial revolutions. Technological innovation makes human societies prosperous, but also involves the replacement of the old with the new, and the destruction of the economic privileges and political power of certain people. For sustained economic growth we need new technologies, new ways of doing things, and more often than not they will come from newcomers such as Lee [Moi ici: O nome do homem que abordou os reis ingleses em busca de uma patente]. It may make society prosperous, but the process of creative destruction that it initiates threatens the livelihood of those who work with old technologies, such as the hand-knitters who would have found themselves unemployed by Lee’s technology. More important, major innovations such as Lee’s stocking frame machine also threaten to reshape political power.
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But the elite, especially when their political power is threatened, form a more formidable barrier to innovation. The fact that they have much to lose from creative destruction means not only that they will not be the ones introducing new innovations but also that they will often resist and try to stop such innovations. Thus society needs newcomers to introduce the most radical innovations, and these newcomers and the creative destruction they wreak must often overcome several sources of resistance, including that from powerful rulers and elites."
 Olhando para a situação do país, para os baixos níveis de produtividade, para a reacção das elites durante a década passada...

Assim se explica o medo atávico das elites políticas pela destruição criativa.


ADENDA (13h30): QED

2 comentários:

Carlos Albuquerque disse...

Quem domina tem sempre medo da alteração do seu domínio e usa todos os meios ao seu alcance para destruir quaisquer ameaças ao seu domínio. Qualquer sistema que permita que alguém seja muito maior do que outros permite sempre que o maior destrua o menor que ameaça a posição dominante. O que é patético é ver que há quem se insurja contra isto numas circunstâncias e fique de olhos bem fechados em muitas outras circunstâncias. O ridículo está também nos exemplos daqueles que vão ao monarca pedir uma patente: pedem que o poder político lhes conceda uma exclusividade em vez de se estabelecerem e usarem a sua invenção.

Carlos Albuquerque disse...

Já agora, porque é que uma sociedade há-de querer inovação e progresso se essa inovação e esse progresso só melhorarem a situação de alguns, que virão a ser a nova elite, e deixarem todos os outros na mesma ou pior? Se os miseráveis operários da Inglaterra do século XIX viviam pior do que muitos camponeses medievais, porque haveriam de querer a revolução industrial?