sexta-feira, junho 14, 2013

Olhos sempre virados para a frente, sempre

A propósito do tema abordado em "Chamem-me bruxo", David Birnbaum em "Understanding China’s Success":
"China’s faced three challenges:
.
1.  China’s one-child per family policy has created the worlds greatest demographic time bomb. Population growth rate is now 0.5% per annum ranking china 152nd. China’s median age stands at 35.9.  China is running out of worker.
2.  Young women are now less willing to move thousands of mile from home to work in garment factories.  Economic development has lead to better opportunities at home
.
a.  The garment industry is no longer a preferred industry.  Work in sewing plants is difficult requiring log hours.
.
b. Garment making has become low status.  The same problem that brought Hong Kong, Taiwan and Korea in the first place — the inability to find workers — is now affecting China
.
3. The local market is becoming increasingly more important than the export market, with the result that the production capacity for garment exports is declining.  This has not yet become apparent because in the current poor economic environment, aggregate demand from the U.S. and EU demand for garment imports is also declining.  However, when economic conditions improve and demand rises, customers will find that supply capacity has fallen.
.
China’s current challenges produce an opportunity for its competitors to move ahead.
.
The strategy for success is very simple.
.
All that is required is for the governments and industries in these countries to be reliable."
O mundo está sempre a mudar, o enrugamento é cada vez maior e novos picos aparecem e picos anteriores transformam-se em vales. Em vez de tentar resistir à mudança, ou sonhar com o regresso ao passado, abraçar o futuro, sempre transiente.

Sem comentários: