terça-feira, abril 05, 2011

And now... something completely different

A propósito de I love this.
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Este interessante artigo de Richard Florida "The State Story: Growth Without Growth" (versão mais curta aqui).
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Os estados norte-americanos onde a população mais cresce não são os estados onde a economia e o nível de vida mais cresce!!!
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É uma nova economia...
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"State population growth does not necessarily translate into higher incomes, notes Harvard economist Edward Glaeser, who points out that median family incomes were $56,200, $60,800, and $56,600 in fast-growing Georgia, Nevada, and Texas, significantly lower than the $83,000, $81,000, and $66,900 found in slow-growing Connecticut, Massachusetts, and New York.
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If there is one thing that economists of all persuasions agree on, it's that it is productivity growth -- fueled by invention and innovation, increased skills and human capital -- that is the main driver of economic growth and greater prosperity. Higher productivity translates into higher wages and income and improved living standards."
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"Some states that have attracted lots of people have registered meager productivity growth. This is especially true of the booming Sunbelt states that show up in the lower right-hand quadrant of the graph. Nevada, which posted the fastest rate of population growth, posted negative productivity figures. Productivity growth was also negative in the fast-expanding Sunbelt states of Georgia and North and South Carolina. And economic conditions in many of these states have likely worsened as the housing crisis has deepened."
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"Conversely, other states where population growth has been slow have seen much higher productivity growth. This group, clustered in the upper left-hand quadrant, includes Rhode Island, New York, Oklahoma, Iowa, North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, and Kansas, all of which posted above-average productivity growth alongside below-average population growth."
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Isto devia pôr algumas cabecinhas a pensar e a interrogarem-se como é que os seus modelos mentais, talhados na época do volume, da escala, do preço como a única vantagem competitiva estão obsoletos.

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