Balanced Scorecard: Portugal tem de aumentar as suas exportações

quinta-feira, dezembro 04, 2008

Portugal tem de aumentar as suas exportações

O gráfico da direita (roubado ao Financial Times) ilustra bem a dimensão da nossa situação na sequência das palavras de Daniel Bessa "Portugal tem de aumentar as suas exportações" num artigo de João Fonseca e Carlos Jorge Monteiro no DN de hoje.
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O único reparo que faço é nesta afirmação:
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"Portugal precisa de investir mas é "em coisas que façam aumentar as exportações" e que, portanto, reduzam o défice da balança de transacções correntes, que atinge qualquer coisa como dois milhões de euros por hora, equivalentes a cerca de 17 mil milhões/ano. E sem isso, o nosso país não resolverá "o ponto mais crítico" da sua economia, adverte Daniel Bessa."
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Portugal não investe, os países não exportam. São as empresas isoladas, grandes e sobretudo as pequenas (à atenção do ministro Pinho) que decidem e actuam.
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Já agora... o betão e as auto-estradas também não se exportam.

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"It is widely believed that restructuring has boosted productivity by displacing low-skilled workers and creating jobs for the high skilled."Mas, e como isto é profundo:"In essence, creative destruction means that low productivity plants are displaced by high productivity plants." Por favor voltar a trás e reler esta última afirmação.
.
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"Das Leben, das uns gegeben ist, ist uns nicht als etwas Fertiges gegeben, sondern wir müssen es uns gestalten, und zwar jeder sein eigenes."
"Eine Regierung, die nichts wert ist, kostet am meisten."
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"o Marketing só existe a partir do pensamento estratégico, caso contrário "não resulta""
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"Perder diversidade é como arrancar páginas de um livro. Quantas páginas poderemos arrancar até deixar de compreender o enredo?"
The great enemy of the truth is very often not the lie – deliberate, contrived and dishonest – but the myth, persistent, persuasive, and unrealistic. Belief in myths allows the comfort of opinion without the discomfort of thought."

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Entre d'altres coses, Mauldin diu que "els inversors estan fumant crack si creuen que els bancs espanyols són entre els més forts d'Europa, ja que estan amagant les seves pèrdues".

“… there are no “sunset” industries condemned to disappear in high wage economies, although there are certainly sunset and condemned strategies, among them building a business on the advantages to be gained by cheap labor”

"o vencedor da vida, o optimista que vive em incesto com o próprio ego, é o traço mais frágil do líder"

"We shall not grow wiser before we learn that much
that we have done was very foolish."
You may not be able to change the world but can at least get some entertainment & make a living out of the epistemic arrogance of the human race.

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"Natal é quando as Crianças pedem e os Pais pagam. Défices é quando os Pais pedem e as Crianças pagam."

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O problema não é o consumo. O problema é o consumo assente em endividamento."

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When it becomes more difficult to suffer than change, you will change"

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The more you can see of the present, the more you can see of the future"

Yes, You can change the future, but only changing the present"

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"A estabilidade é uma ilusão"

"When we create the conditions of possibility, the universe becomes our co-conspirator"

Thinking about doing is not doing. Talking about doing is not doing. Doing is doing."

"'God has created me to do him some definite service. He has committed some work to me which he has not committed to another'.

...

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"confusing testosterone with strategy is a bad idea"

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"O Portugal que pára sem orçamento é precisamente aquele que vive dele e que há todo o interesse em parar."

"credibilidade da política financeira e dos seus executores está ao nível da credibilidade de uma barraca das farturas"

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"Promising never to raise taxes, without reaching a deal on spending, really means a high and rising commitment to future taxes."

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"os bancos não financiam a economia, a poupança sim"

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“Uma moeda boa e forte é como a saúde. Só lhe damos verdadeiramente valor quando não a temos.”

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"O homem de bem exige tudo de si próprio; o homem medíocre espera tudo dos outros"

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"As elites foram deixando de falar das exportações à medida que se foi percebendo que o país consegue exportar sem elas"

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"Built to last" is bad economics. Built to do something great" is the better idea. Think: "Creative destruction."

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“No, no, you're not thinking; you're just being logical.”

"Success is not a destination. It's the trail you leave behind you."

"Winners make a habit of manufacturing their own positive expectations in advance of the event."

“You’ve got to start with the customer experience and work back toward the technology – not the other way around”

"Strategy as the "smallest set of - intended or actual - choices and decisions sufficient to guide all other choices and decisions sufficient to guide all other choices and decisions."

"When something is commoditized, an adjacent market becomes valuable"

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"With great power comes great irresponsibility "

"Weird things happen when you take price out of the equation for consumers"

"‘It’s so damn complex. If you ever think you have the solution to this, you’re wrong and you’re dangerous.’"

"Saruman believes it is only great power that can hold evil in check, but that is not what I have found. I found it is the small everyday deeds of ordinary folk that keep the darkness at bay. Small acts of kindness and love."

"Increasing stuff that doesn't add value dilutes existing value."

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"Never underestimate the difficulty of changing false beliefs by facts"

"Stressors are information"

“If you hear a “prominent” economist using the word ‘equilibrium,’ or ‘normal distribution,’ do not argue with him; just ignore him, or try to put a rat down his shirt.”

"The advantage of experiences over things for most of us is that we can make them seem unique, which = scarce, which = value"

"Pedras no caminho?

Guardo todas, um dia vou construir um castelo"

"Without risk, faith is an impossibility."

"Não posso com quem vive a achar que os outros lhe devem sempre alguma coisa."

"In a world of increasing automation, our ability to perform tasks is not nearly as important as our ability to dream. The questions we need to ask are not ones of action, but ones of meaning"

"Me arrancam tudo a força e depois me chamam de contribuinte."

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“Price is emotional”

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"The most important thing to study is opening theory"

"The greater the contrast, the greater the potential"

“Customers don't care about your solution, they care about their problems.”

"Todos querem conhecer a verdade, mas o que desejam é que lhes contem uma mentira em que não sejam protagonistas."

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"Our obsession with scalability is getting in the way of unleashing the potential of the 21st century."

"The system is optimized to mitigate risk, not create value"

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"You don't have to pick between 1) playing the game and 2) not playing the game. You can *change* the game."

""The first principle is that you must not fool yourself and you are the easiest person to fool." "

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quinta-feira, dezembro 04, 2008

Portugal tem de aumentar as suas exportações

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