quinta-feira, abril 24, 2008

Curiosidades

Citação de Peter Schwartz retirada do livro "The Art of the Long View" (de 1991):
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"The single most frequent failure in the history of forecasting has been grossly underestimating the impact of technologies. We may, in fact, be in the midst of a major transition to technologies that may make possible much higher economic growth - fueled by the faster pace of reserach and by "nanotecnologies" such as molecular engineering."
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Citação de Vijay Govindarajan e Chris Rimble retirada do livro "Ten Rules for Strategic Innovators" (2005):
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"But estimates of how emerging industries will develop are unreliable at best. For example, when AT&T consulted McKinsey & Company in the mid-1980s for advice on the cellular telephone market, McKinsey concluded that the worldwide potential was 900,000 units. Today, 900,000 new subscribers become mobile-phone users every three days."

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