terça-feira, abril 08, 2008

Futurizar, futurizar

No final de Fevereiro princípio de Março, a leitura do livro "The Art of Possibility" de Rosamund Stone Zander e Benjamin Zander deixou-me alguma curiosidade quanto a um clássico que não conhecia "The Art of the Long View" de Peter Schwartz.
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Encontrei-o à venda em segunda-mão na Amazon França por menos de 3 euros. Chegou-me a casa já em Abril e lê-lo tem sido um gosto profundo.
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Quando recebi o livro e vi que não tinha "bonecos", que não tinha figuras receei. Mas rapidamente, mal se começa a ler, percebe-se a poesia que o autor incutiu ao texto.
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De certeza que voltarei neste local ao livro, no entanto, por agora quero apenas mostrar o meu contentamento pela sintonia encontrada:

"“some people are immediately great at building scenarios. Others need more practice. But this difference in proficiency has nothing to do with peoples’ character. It’s the result of differences in training, experience, and intuition.
Social scientists often have a hard time; they have been trained to stay away from “What if?” questions and concentrate on “What was?”
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Accountants and engineers typically have a hard time because their training is deterministic. An accountant’s columns and rows must add up to a single answer for any accountant who tries it, or the work is “wrong.”
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In contrast, a cultural anthropologist knows clearly that what he or she sees in a particular village will be different from what another cultural anthropologist sees. The anthropologist is more attuned to uncertainty and multiple points of view, and can more easily accept the practice of scenarios. The same is true for historians. In business, the most attuned practitioners are people who have made mistakes – people who have gotten it wrong, and want to find other ways of dealing with their problems.
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Older business people are often more sensitive to the process.
Anyone can create scenarios, however; but it will be much easier if you are willing to encourage your own imagination, novelty, and even sense of the absurd – as well as your sense of realism."
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E esta reflexão de Outubro passado

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