Mais umas notas retiradas do livro “Cracked It! How to solve big problems and sell solutions like top strategy consultants,” agora do Capítulo V.
"Fourth, hypothesis-driven thinking can lead you to communicate the solution before solving the problem. Part of the appeal of a hypothesis pyramid is that its logic is the same as the structure of a story that sells the candidate solution. But this confusion creates risks. Would you want to see the same thinking in the White House's situation room as in its press room? In the situation room, the focus is (or should be) on finding the best solution to deal with a crisis. In the press room, the press secretary sells the solution to the press corps and the world. Identifying candidate solutions based only on what can be sold to an audience is dangerous. [...] [Moi ici: O que fazem os políticos actuais?]
Finally, hypothesis-driven problem structuring can lead to the solution confirmation pitfall. A hypothesis that looks sensible can lead problem solvers to be more inclined to search for and be receptive to information that confirms it rather than information that disconfirms their belief in its soundness. Even the most experienced problem solvers can fall into this trap—the more experienced and successful they are, the greater the repertoire of cases in their mental libraries, the more likely they are to trust their instincts, increasing the risk of confirmation bias." [Moi ici: Não é impunemente que se adquire experiência]
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