quinta-feira, abril 16, 2020

Devo ser muito burro mesmo! (parte II)

Parte I.

Continuo muito burro, mas sou só eu

No Financial Times de ontem, Martin Wolf em "The world economy is nowcollapsing" escreveu:
"For what any forecast is worth, the IMF now suggests that global output per head will contract by 4.2 per cent this year, vastly more than the 1.6 per cent recorded in 2009, during the global financial crisis. Ninety per cent of all countries will experience negative growth in real gross domestic product per head this year, against 62 per cent in 2009, when China’s robust expansion helped cushion the blow.
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In January, the IMF forecast smooth growth this year. It now forecasts a plunge of 12 per cent between the last quarter of 2019 and the second quarter of 2020 in advanced economies and a fall of 5 per cent in emerging and developing countries. But, optimistically, the second quarter is forecast to be the nadir. Thereafter, it expects a recovery, though output in advanced economies is forecast to remain below fourth quarter 2019 levels until 2022."
Um país que depende de ajuda externa, pedinte profissional, não vai praticar austeridade, ao mesmo tempo que os que vão emprestar dinheiro vão praticar austeridade.

Acabo de ler, na minha caminha matinal este trecho:
“In 1950 Toyota went nearly bankrupt and was bailed out by banks, who forced it to lay off workers and restructure (separating sales from production). Toyota leaders swore they would never be reliant on banks again.”
Trecho retirado de “The Lean Strategy” de Michael Ballé, Daniel Jones, Jacques Chaize, e Orest Fiume.

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