Balanced Scorecard: "Acerca das historietas das exportações"

terça-feira, dezembro 27, 2016

"Acerca das historietas das exportações"

Ainda no ano passado, pessoas que agora rejubilam com os números das exportações, tudo faziam para os menorizar.

Ao longo dos anos as exportações têm calado sucessivamente muitos ignorantes que pontuam no espaço político-mediático. Dois exemplos:

Julho de 2012, Luís "atirem dinheiro para cima dos problemas" Delgado falava das "historietas das exportações";
Outubro de 2011, Clara Ferreira Alves não sabia do que íamos viver.

Em Novembro passado registei aqui a evolução do peso das exportações no PIB:

21% em 1985
31% em 2008
40,6 em 2015

Agora, verifico as previsões do BdP deste mês de Dezembro:

42% em 2016
44% em 2017
46% em 2018
48% em 2019

E os gurus que dizem que não somos competitivos com o euro...

"O abrandamento em 2016, que não deverá impossibilitar um novo ganho de quotas de mercado,"

Um país a ganhar quotas de mercado desde 2008!

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"It is widely believed that restructuring has boosted productivity by displacing low-skilled workers and creating jobs for the high skilled."Mas, e como isto é profundo:"In essence, creative destruction means that low productivity plants are displaced by high productivity plants." Por favor voltar a trás e reler esta última afirmação.
.
"Lovaglia’s Law: The more important the outcome of a decision, the more people will resist using evidence to make it."

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"Das Leben, das uns gegeben ist, ist uns nicht als etwas Fertiges gegeben, sondern wir müssen es uns gestalten, und zwar jeder sein eigenes."
"Eine Regierung, die nichts wert ist, kostet am meisten."
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"The single biggest problem in communication is the illusion that it has taken place."

“It is not the strongest of the species that survives, nor the most intelligent; it is the one that is most adaptable to change.”

"o Marketing só existe a partir do pensamento estratégico, caso contrário "não resulta""
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"Perder diversidade é como arrancar páginas de um livro. Quantas páginas poderemos arrancar até deixar de compreender o enredo?"
The great enemy of the truth is very often not the lie – deliberate, contrived and dishonest – but the myth, persistent, persuasive, and unrealistic. Belief in myths allows the comfort of opinion without the discomfort of thought."

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"Un desastre està punt de succeir a Espanya. El malentès de la gravetat de la crisi costarà car als inversors, ja que tindrà profundes conseqüències per a tot el sistema bancari europeu", afirma.

Entre d'altres coses, Mauldin diu que "els inversors estan fumant crack si creuen que els bancs espanyols són entre els més forts d'Europa, ja que estan amagant les seves pèrdues".

“… there are no “sunset” industries condemned to disappear in high wage economies, although there are certainly sunset and condemned strategies, among them building a business on the advantages to be gained by cheap labor”

"o vencedor da vida, o optimista que vive em incesto com o próprio ego, é o traço mais frágil do líder"

"We shall not grow wiser before we learn that much
that we have done was very foolish."
You may not be able to change the world but can at least get some entertainment & make a living out of the epistemic arrogance of the human race.

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“Trust your guts. But not too much!”

"Customers will try 'low-cost providers,' because the majors have not given them any clear reason not to." "

"Natal é quando as Crianças pedem e os Pais pagam. Défices é quando os Pais pedem e as Crianças pagam."

"A imprevidência dos povos é infinita, a dos governos é legal"

"What a man sees depends both upon what he looks at and also upon what his previous visual-conceptual experience has taught him to see"

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"lamented the lack of any systematic data on the scale of unfunded IOUs that care-free politicians have handed out like confetti."

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O problema não é o consumo. O problema é o consumo assente em endividamento."

"There are designations, like "economist", "prostitute", or "consultant" for which additional characterization doesn't add information."

When it becomes more difficult to suffer than change, you will change"

"Hope is not a strategy and a crisis is a terrible thing to waste"

The more you can see of the present, the more you can see of the future"

Yes, You can change the future, but only changing the present"

"Entrepreneurship is 'Having aspirations greater than your resources'"

“The single biggest reason companies fail is they overinvest in what is, as opposed to what might be."

"The first principle is that you must not fool yourself - and you are the easiest person to fool. So you have to be very careful about that"

"A estabilidade é uma ilusão"

"When we create the conditions of possibility, the universe becomes our co-conspirator"

Thinking about doing is not doing. Talking about doing is not doing. Doing is doing."

"'God has created me to do him some definite service. He has committed some work to me which he has not committed to another'.

...

"Each of us has a mission, each of us is called to change the world, to work for a culture of life, a culture forged by love and respect for the dignity of each human person.

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"O Portugal que pára sem orçamento é precisamente aquele que vive dele e que há todo o interesse em parar."

"credibilidade da política financeira e dos seus executores está ao nível da credibilidade de uma barraca das farturas"

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"today an entrepreneur is closer to artists than managers"

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"They can because they think they can"

"Se há coisa que não suporto é misturar catequese com negócios, é a incapacidade para calçar os sapatos do outro e só pensar na nossa posição de coitadinhos, pobres vítimas indefesas dos maus e que por isso precisamos do Estado todo poderoso para nos proteger e, nem percebem na volta, os juros que o Estado cobra por esse serviço mafioso de protecção que, ainda por cima não resolve nada."

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"Value it's a feeling not a calculation"

"An economist is someone who has had a human being described to him, but has never actually seen one."

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"The 'value added' for most any company, tiny or enormous, comes from the Quality of Experience provided."

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"Promising never to raise taxes, without reaching a deal on spending, really means a high and rising commitment to future taxes."

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"os bancos não financiam a economia, a poupança sim"

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"Never be afraid to try, remember... Amateurs built the ark. Professionals built the Titanic."

"terms such as 'experiment' and 'observation' cover complex processes containing many strands. 'Facts' come from negotiations between different parties and the final product - the published report - is influenced by physical events, dataprocessors, compromises, exhaustion, lack of money, national pride and so on."

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“Uma moeda boa e forte é como a saúde. Só lhe damos verdadeiramente valor quando não a temos.”

"Life’s tough. It’s tougher if you’re stupid"

"O homem de bem exige tudo de si próprio; o homem medíocre espera tudo dos outros"

"Change is a threat when done to me, but an opportunity when done by me."

"As elites foram deixando de falar das exportações à medida que se foi percebendo que o país consegue exportar sem elas"

"Your toughest competition is the little voice inside your head telling you to stop"

"Pain is just weakness leaving your body"

"Built to last" is bad economics. Built to do something great" is the better idea. Think: "Creative destruction."

"the world is an uncertain place no matter how many Greek letter equations you affix to a problem."

"You never change things by fighting existing reality. To change s.th., build a new model making the existing model obsolete"

“No, no, you're not thinking; you're just being logical.”

"Success is not a destination. It's the trail you leave behind you."

"Winners make a habit of manufacturing their own positive expectations in advance of the event."

“You’ve got to start with the customer experience and work back toward the technology – not the other way around”

"Strategy as the "smallest set of - intended or actual - choices and decisions sufficient to guide all other choices and decisions sufficient to guide all other choices and decisions."

"When something is commoditized, an adjacent market becomes valuable"

"nature evolves away from constraints, not toward goals"

"There aren't any textbooks on what to stop doing!"

"With great power comes great irresponsibility "

"Weird things happen when you take price out of the equation for consumers"

"‘It’s so damn complex. If you ever think you have the solution to this, you’re wrong and you’re dangerous.’"

"Saruman believes it is only great power that can hold evil in check, but that is not what I have found. I found it is the small everyday deeds of ordinary folk that keep the darkness at bay. Small acts of kindness and love."

"Increasing stuff that doesn't add value dilutes existing value."

"O federalismo não é a alternativa à troika, é a troika para sempre."

"Never underestimate the difficulty of changing false beliefs by facts"

"Stressors are information"

“If you hear a “prominent” economist using the word ‘equilibrium,’ or ‘normal distribution,’ do not argue with him; just ignore him, or try to put a rat down his shirt.”

"The advantage of experiences over things for most of us is that we can make them seem unique, which = scarce, which = value"

"Pedras no caminho?

Guardo todas, um dia vou construir um castelo"

"Without risk, faith is an impossibility."

"Não posso com quem vive a achar que os outros lhe devem sempre alguma coisa."

"In a world of increasing automation, our ability to perform tasks is not nearly as important as our ability to dream. The questions we need to ask are not ones of action, but ones of meaning"

"Me arrancam tudo a força e depois me chamam de contribuinte."

"Letting people vote for expensive programs that “somebody else” will finance is a good recipe for getting people to vote irresponsibly"

"what's fairness gotta do with pricing based in value?"

"The epic battle of our generation is between the status quo of mass and the never-ceasing tide of weird."

“Price is emotional”

"There will always be a reason why you can't pursue it, until competitors create a reason why you must."

"The most important thing to study is opening theory"

"The greater the contrast, the greater the potential"

“Customers don't care about your solution, they care about their problems.”

"Todos querem conhecer a verdade, mas o que desejam é que lhes contem uma mentira em que não sejam protagonistas."

"Execution efficiency strangles innovation in the crib, but not with malice, by default.”

"Our obsession with scalability is getting in the way of unleashing the potential of the 21st century."

"The system is optimized to mitigate risk, not create value"

"Champions are made when no one is looking"

"Don't bargain on value. Half as expensive is often twice as cheap."

"Customers care about outcomes, not effort, technology, or originality."

" I can't believe it. That is why you fail."

"You don't have to pick between 1) playing the game and 2) not playing the game. You can *change* the game."

""The first principle is that you must not fool yourself and you are the easiest person to fool." "

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terça-feira, dezembro 27, 2016

"Acerca das historietas das exportações"

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