quinta-feira, abril 30, 2015

O truque é a interacção, a co-criação. Os robots não têm hipótese!

Ontem de manhã, fui agradavelmente surpreendido por um tweet que me mereceu logo uma resposta:
Interessante como a frase vai ao encontro do tema da escola do futuro:
"Information creates more value than inventory and interaction creates more value than information!" (fonte)
Algures li uma afirmação de Kasparov que dizia que um grande mestre perdia sempre contra um supercomputador, mas que um jogador mediano com um computador mediano, juntos batiam sempre o supercomputador.
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Em "The Machines Are Coming" leio:
"Most of what we think of as expertise, knowledge and intuition is being deconstructed and recreated as an algorithmic competency, fueled by big data.
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Machines aren’t used because they perform some tasks that much better than humans, but because, in many cases, they do a “good enough” job while also being cheaper, more predictable and easier to control than quirky, pesky humans. Technology in the workplace is as much about power and control as it is about productivity and efficiency.
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the way technology is being used in many workplaces: to reduce the power of humans, and employers’ dependency on them, whether by replacing, displacing or surveilling them.
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It’s easy to imagine an alternate future where advanced machine capabilities are used to empower more of us, rather than control most of us. There will potentially be more time, resources and freedom to share, but only if we change how we do things. We don’t need to reject or blame technology. This problem is not us versus the machines, but between us, as humans, and how we value one another."
Nós humanos não somos explicáveis por leis newtonianas. Sim, o retalho levava a deles avante ao principio, com os saldos. Agora, nós humanos, torpedeamos o seu sistema, porque aprendemos a dar a volta. Vai ser bonito ver os humanos a aprender e a tomar partido de formas de enganar as máquinas.
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Gente sem paciência estratégica acha que é tudo uma questão de eficiência e poupança. Gente mais inteligente percebe que o truque é a interacção, a co-criação.
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Em "Is Your Job ‘Routine’? If So, It’s Probably Disappearing" leio:
"In the most recent recession, routine jobs collapsed and simply have not recovered, with employment in both cognitive and manual jobs down by more than 5% if the tasks are mostly routine.
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In recessions of the 1960s and 1970s, routine jobs would fall during the recession but quickly snap back. But after the recession in 1990, something changed. Routine jobs fell and, as a share of the population, never recovered. In the recessions in 2001 and in 2007-09 they fell even further. The snapback never occurred, suggesting that many firms began coping with recessions by scrapping tasks that could be automated or more easily outsourced.
For his part, Mr. Siu thinks jobs have been taken away by automation, more than by outsourcing.
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Many of the routine occupations that were once commonplace have begun to disappear, while others have become obsolete,” they write. “This is because the tasks involved in these occupations, by their nature, are prime candidates to be performed by new technologies.”

Li também "Cheaper Robots, Fewer Workers".

Recordar o destino dos robots da Toyota e das linhas de montagem da Canon na produção, quanto mais na gestão "Why Your Best Managers Soon May Not Be Humans".
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MacGyver ganha sempre ao Sandy!

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