"Don’t Confuse Risk and Uncertainty
Given the many unknowns, few situations in life allow us to calculate risk precisely. In most cases the risks involved are a mixture of more or less well known ones.
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In health care, another world with a high degree of uncertainty, a doctor needs statistical thinking to understand the results of medical research, but also good intuitions to understand the patient. Similarly, in the world of business, statistical calculation is not enough; to know whom to trust, one needs good intuitions about other people."
Trechos retirados de "Risk Savy" de Gerd Gigerenzer.
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