segunda-feira, outubro 26, 2020

Tenho tanto medo de quem está cheio de certezas...

Tenho tanto medo de quem está cheio de certezas...

 "When we are faced with a problem, we assume that all we need to do is elaborate the options, select one, and then execute. This assumes that causality is determinable and therefore that we have a valid means of eliminating options. What we mean by causality is that we can relate cause and effect; if we take a certain action, we know what the effect will be — or given an effect, we can determine what caused it. This is not always the case and we need to acknowledge that there are systems in which we can determine cause and effect and those in which we cannot. We call the former ordered and the later un-ordered systems.

In an ordered system, the system is highly constrained, the behavior is highly predictable, and the causality is either obvious from experience or can be determined by analysis. If the cause is obvious then we have a simple system, and if it is not obvious but can be determined by analysis, we say it is a complicated system as cause and effect (or determination of the cause) is separated by time.

For an un-ordered system, we cannot determine causality. However, we find that some of these systems are stable, and the constraints and behavior evolve over time through the interaction of the components. 

...

We also need to acknowledge that systems are not always stable, and the state of the system may change over time. A system may be stable and predictable, but its performance degrades over time or it may simply break."

A Via Negativa tem o seu lugar. 

Trechos retirados de "The Cynefin Mini-Book" de Greg Brougham.

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