quinta-feira, janeiro 14, 2016

"um sinal para aumentar a exploration versus exploitation"

Em 2015 as exportações de calçado portuguesas devem ter encolhido cerca de 1%.
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Não me causa preocupação nenhuma. Foram vários anos seguidos sempre a crescer e, não me esqueço do que Nassim Taleb diz acerca do crescimento contínuo:
"Economists fail to get w/ GDP growth that anything that grows without an "S" curve (slowing down phase) blows up."
No entretanto, por exemplo, trabalho actualmente com uma empresa do sector que deve ter crescido, outra vez, mais de 15%.
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Refiro este facto por causa deste artigo "Don’t Let Your Company Get Trapped by Success ":
"It’s harder to stay on top than to get there.
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In today’s dynamic business environment, leaders of large established companies need more than ever to run and reinvent the business at the same time.
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Only few firms manage to be ambidextrous—most struggle to maintain a healthy balance between exploration and exploitation. This can be deadly: corporate mortality has never been higher than today.
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Companies in the success trap over-exploit their current business models and fail to renew or grow future growth options. This has long term consequences: these “exploiters” significantly underperform their exploratory peers."
Resultados menos bons são um sinal, outra frase de Taleb: "stressors are information".
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Resultados menos bons são um alerta, um sinal para aumentar a exploration versus exploitation


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