segunda-feira, junho 09, 2008

Joga pedra na Geni

Joga pedra na Geni
Joga pedra na Geni
Ela é feita pra apanhar
Ela é boa de cuspir
Ela dá pra qualquer um
Maldita Geni
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Este é o refrão de uma canção de Chico Buarque.
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Por cá está na moda:
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Joga pedra no especulador de petróleo
Joga pedra no especulador de petróleo
Ele é feito pra apanhar
Ele é bom de cuspir
Ele dá pra qualquer um
Maldito especulador de petróleo
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Segundo as sumidades Rosas e Vitorino a culpa do aumento de petróleo é dos especuladores.
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Em Setembro de 1996, Paul Krugman escrevia isto "White Collars Turn Blue" (o artigo é escrito pelo autor como se estivésse em 2096):
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"But even in 1996 it should have been obvious that this was silly. First, for all the talk about information, ultimately an economy must serve consumers -- and consumers want tangible goods. The billions of third-world families that finally began to have some purchasing power when the 20th century ended did not want to watch pretty graphics on the Internet. They wanted to live in nice houses, drive cars and eat meat. "
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"These, then, were the underlying misconceptions of late-20th-century futurists. Their flawed analysis led, in turn, to the five great economic trends that observers in 1996 should have expected but didn't.
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Soaring Resource Prices
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The first half of the 1990's was an era of extraordinarily low prices for raw materials. In retrospect, it is hard to see why anyone thought that situation would last. When two billion Asians began to aspire to Western levels of consumption, it was inevitable that they would set off a scramble for limited supplies of minerals, fossil fuels and even food."
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Adenda de 13 de Junho de 2008: "MUNDO ESTÁ A PRODUZIR MENOS PETRÓLEO"

4 comentários:

V.A. disse...

Quem disse que o último Profeta foi João Baptista?
V.A.

Grifo disse...

Caro CCZ

às sumidades Rosas e Vitorinos terá de acrescentar outras, como o George Soros ( e este não é apenas um teorico, pois sabe do que fala e faz).

A este respeito penso que vale a pena ler os seguintes excertos dos depoimentos prestados perante o senado norte americano, que investiga exactamente esta questão :

But George Soros and Gerry Ramm joined others in delivering the same message last week to the Senate Commerce Committee. Rampant speculation has helped spur out-of-control crude oil prices, which neared $140 a barrel Friday.
In the measured tones of high finance, Soros, whose hedge fund by some accounts made $3 billion last year, talked about a ''speculative excess'' and warned that the run-up in oil prices could drag the United States into a recession.
''It is intellectually dishonest, potentially destabilizing and distinctly harmful in its economic consequences,'' he said.
Ramm, the president of the Inland Oil Co. of Ephrata, Wash., was a bit more plain-spoken.
''Excessive speculation on energy trading is the fuel that is driving this runaway train in crude oil prices.''
Others testifying said speculation by investment banks, hedge funds, institutional investors and others may be responsible for more than half of the skyrocketing price of crude oil. The Federal Trade Commission and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, they said, have failed to investigate.

Soros said there are real economic reasons for oil prices to be going up. First, there is ''the increasing cost of discovering and developing new reserves and the accelerating depletion of existing oil fields as they age.'' Second, oil-producing countries have less incentive to sell their oil reserves - which are gaining in value - for dollars, which have lost value in recent months.
Third, countries where demand is growing fastest, such as China, are keeping energy prices artificially low for their domestic consumers by providing subsidies.
But Soros said speculation is also artificially increasing oil prices, which have risen by more than 40 percent in the past six months.

CCz disse...

Cada um acredita no que muito bem entender.
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Entre Soros e o gráfico do postal "A caminho de um mundo diferente", publicado neste blogue a 1 de Janeiro de 2008, prefiro o gráfico.
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CCz disse...

Público de hoje, artigo "Preço do petróleo pressionado por consumo em alta e produção estagnada", assinado por Ana Brito,

"O ano de 2007 ficou marcado por um aumento de 1,1 por cento do consumo mundial de petróleo, a contrastar com a primeira queda da produção em cinco anos."